To: JAC who wrote (6090 ) 4/24/1998 9:19:00 AM From: Jon Tara Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18444
"I have held because it seems like the only logical thing to do since the bottom fell out after I bought," [Off-topic, not NETZ-related] Why do you feel that holding is the only logical thing to do? I think that this is the biggest mistake that novice investors make. (I know that it's one that *I* made when I started-out!) When you buy a stock, set a maximum loss that you will tolerate, and then stick with it. It is MUCH more important to control losses than to make profits! You can lose on most of your trades, yet still make money, if you can control your losses. Here is the fallacy of thinking that holding is the "only logical thing to do": why do you think, out of THOUSANDS of stocks, that this is the ONLY stock that can make back the money that you lost? I suspect that the logic is this: "it went DOWN that far, it can go back UP that far, too!". But, now, turn it around. Take a stock that does NOT have any significant drops - a stock that "only goes up" (more or less). Do you think that it can't rise by, say, $10 because it didn't drop by $10? Do you really think that a stock that drops $10 is more likely to rise $10 than one that *didn't* drop? That is, do you think, in general, that a recovery is more likely than a new high? In reality, I think you will find the opposite, and that is the reason for the old advise: "Sell your losers, and let your winners run". Sounds obvious, but how many people do it? If you have a portfolio of 5 stocks, and you want to sell one, which one do you sell? The dog, or the one you've made a bundle on? It sounds to me, with this logic, that you would sell the one you made a bundle on, thinking it can't go any further, while holding the dog, because it hasn't seen it's day yet. It's only "logical" to hold that dog until it turns around, right? This is NOT a flame, but a sincere attempt to stimulate some thought about how me make our trading decisions.