To: Robert Graham who wrote (41305 ) 4/26/1998 11:02:00 AM From: j g cordes Respond to of 58727
Bob, there are services that track absolute volume per sector.Perhaps the funds are rotating back into the tech sector. One question here is why they chose second tier stocks instead of first tier stocks., Or that tech funds are buying... A diverse market like ours looks to asertain value by comparing (PE's, growth, pricing opportunity and other measures), to sectors within its own borders. We will first compare NB/CCI to HWP/IBM, instead of comparing these to Sony in Japan or Mercedes in Germany. Because of this a diverse market can fool itself into ever higher and increasing internally judged relative prices comparisons. That way, we can say one sector is undervalued relative to another sector and money will rotate to it to bring the whole system up to par with itself... regardless of how overvalued the whole system is becomming. I found it interesting as many internet related businesses suddenly felt left behind and undervalued relative to YAHOO, SEEK, AMZN and some others took off! One said "... hey AMZN didn't earn a thing and they're trading near 100, we should go to 200 because we made .03cents!" On a larger scale, though not as pronounced, the same thing is happening. IBM is saying its a 200 dollar stock because its PE should be closer to KO's... and on and on. This won't change simply on valuation or funds pulling back a little. The under pinnings of this are broader and the task of money is to find opportunity even when valuations are historically high. There is an increasing opportunity for renegade capital (the Soro's, short funds, speculators, momentum players of all size), to attack the underbelly of this market... I expect to see more of that on a sector by sector basis. Jim