SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Stockman_77079 who wrote (15290)4/26/1998 4:32:00 PM
From: mp  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 45548
 
It was exactly a year ago around end of April/ beginning
of May that 3COM made a run from 24 to 55+. I feel it
might do the same, though not to the same level, this year
for the following 2 reasons:
1. Perception that the stock has bottomed out.
2. Finally earnings start going up rather than down (not
year over year, but sequential).
My opinion is by mid-May, 3COM stock will be close to 48
after which a test of 40 followed by a run to 55 in August.



To: Stockman_77079 who wrote (15290)4/27/1998 1:11:00 PM
From: joe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 45548
 
Stockman_77079,

Are you the same poster as Stockman? Just curious?


>>Joe, this looks like dead money for a while unless you are into quick in and out for the short term up and down. It seems to hang between 32 and 35. It will probably take *great* news to move it.<<

COMS is a company that has a slew of new products. It's in
a major transition mode. It won't take *great* news to move
it. It just takes what it takes any company to start moving
forward, after falling backwards for a while -- mainly,
resuming a nice stable stream of earnings growth.

Right now, the focus is on getting modems selling. IMO
they will sell, if for no other reason being that's there's
no other decent way to improve net speed for the home
user. But because of all the standards war last year,
there is some bad feelings about upgrading to new modems.
This needs to be overcome, and I have confidence that COMS
has some skill at marketing a new image.

I think eventually, they'll start the ball rolling - nobody
can tell for sure when.

Also, I have a strong feeling that they're starting to sell
their new NICs pretty well, and also other products (of the
first wave). Like everybody else, I guess, we're trying
to see what's starting to move, at what pace. To me, it's
just a matter of when, not if.

COMS is not just a MODEM COMPANY. It's a big mistake for
anybody that thinks so. But, IMO, that's the long term
part of the COMS investment. COMS is a company for the
future, and that suits my style just fine.

I'm not a daytrader - at least not consistently - because
I have a regular job. Occasionally, I make some short
term trades - partly for fun.

But, anyway, I have noticed that it's possible to trade COMS between 32 - 36 or so. Sometimes, things get in the way like
today's Fed fears, which I am by no means convinced is as
strong a problem as the market is reacting to now. Asia/Japan
will keep rates down. It's time for a new Fed if they do
indeed raise rates this May - they are seriously losing touch
with the world if they do so (IMO).

To sum up:

1) Have to wait for one of the next 2 quarters for positive
earnings rise. This is not considered *great* news; but
on the other hand, many people will be very glad and
anybody holding that stock will see a nice QUICK JUMP
in the stock. It will go up fast at this point.

For a trader, that's considered 'dead money'. For
long termer, it's just business as usual.

2) Yes, I think this is a tradeable stock between 32-36,
just have to be glued to your screen a lot...

All the above is MY OPINION. Feel free to beat it up as
much as possible. We can't make money unless we face
reality, so ALL DEBATE IS WELCOME - THE MORE THE BETTER.

Joe