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To: S.C. Barnard who wrote (15632)4/28/1998 5:13:00 PM
From: John Mansfield  Respond to of 31646
 
REPOST: Ed Yourdon Replies to a Critic - also on electric utilities

'1998-03-02 12:00:02

There are approx 9,000 electric utility plants in the U.S., including 108 nuclear
plants, and at the present time (Feb 25, 1998), NONE of them are Y2K
compliant. None. Zero. Zip. Nada. Last survey that I saw indicated that one-third had
not started any Y2K effort at all, one third were seriously behind schedule, and one-third
were on-schedule. This is not an exaggeration; NONE of the nuclear plants are compliant,
and the Nuclear Regulatory Agency (NRC) is currently drafting a letter to the plant
operators to warn them of their vulnerability and liability. The Chairman of the SEC,
Arthur Levitt, has drafted a letter to the non-nuclear agencies, also warning them of their
Y2K exposure; this will probably go out in the next week or two. Most likely scenario:
20-30% of the utility plants will suffer at least sporadic Y2K problems on
1/1/2000, primarily with their embedded systems, including intermittent
blackouts; and it's not at all beyond the realm of possibility that portions of the nation's
power grid will be brought down for several hours, days, or weeks. Don't take my word
for it; take a look at the web sites of two Y2K-oriented utility experts, Roleigh Martin

(http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/roleigh_martin/)

and Rick Cowles

(http://www.euy2k.com/index.htm)

Both of them think the situation will be MUCH worse than what I've suggested.

<snip>

Sincerely, Ed Yourdon'



To: S.C. Barnard who wrote (15632)4/29/1998 7:33:00 AM
From: S.C. Barnard  Respond to of 31646
 
Sheesh, haven't looked in a while. I called the utility back again and gave them www.planty2kone.com. Didn't think www.tavatech.com was unready that way. Anyone who feels even a little motivated, call your electric/utility co. ask for the y2k compliance department, and just mention it to them, can't hurt, and they'll probably be open to hearing from you!



To: S.C. Barnard who wrote (15632)4/30/1998 9:19:00 AM
From: S.C. Barnard  Respond to of 31646
 
MRCM is more worthy of CNBC airtime?