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To: menanna who wrote (10873)4/28/1998 6:57:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116786
 
Bearish tales overdone on gold says WGC
09:38 a.m. Apr 28, 1998 Eastern
ZURICH, April 28 (Reuters) - Overly bearish thinking about the collapse
of Asian gold demand, central bank sales and investor interest is
starting to turn around, helping prices to recover, a World Gold Council
(WGC) official said on Tuesday.

George Milling-Stanley, WGC Manager of Gold Market Analysis, said that
thinking on all three had overstated the case for bearishness and
attributed gold's rise from January's 18-year low below $280 to a
growing realisation of this.

''Each one of these represents an area where conventional wisdom is just
starting to be challenged...'' he told a gold mining industry
conference.

On central banks, Milling-Stanley said the market had oversold the
potential likely effects of creating the European Central Bank (ECB),
setting the level of its gold reserves and deciding what to do with the
remainder in national reserves.

He said the issue was not one of how much gold was held by the ECB but
rather the new bank's power over national central banks in the
euro-zone, which he said would give it control over the fate of 14,000
tonnes of gold.

''It will be for the ECB to decide what happens with these reserves, not
the central banks of the member states,'' said Milling-Stanley, whose
organisation is funded by producers.

He said official sector holdings had fallen from 38,385 tonnes at the
end of 1966 to 33,840 tonnes by the end of January this year, a decline
of 4,445 tonnes or 11.6 percent.

Sales by Canada, Belgium, the Netherlands, Australia and Austria in
recent years were small in comparison to the 150 official sector
organisations holding gold, he said.

Milling-Stanley said last year's financial crises in South Korea,
Indonesia and Thailand had had relatively little effect on overall
demand world-wide.

''That said, there is no question that, once we put the numbers together
for the first quarter of the year, we will see that developments in
certain countries in Asia had a significant impact on overall gold
demand,'' he said.

On the third issue, that of gold purchases by Western investors, he
cited strong U.S. demand for bullion coins and progress in WGC efforts
to woo investment fund managers as causes for expecting increased gold
uptake

Milling-Stanley said that of 50 investment organisations visited by the
WGC, eight had since said they had bought gold as a portfolio
diversifier.

''Collectively, these eight institutions added about 50 tonnes of gold
to their portfolios in 1997. And others have already been buying this
year, to the tune of a further 10 tonnes or so,'' he said.

((Patrick Chalmers, conference newsroom, tel. 41 1 224 25 26))

Copyright 1998 Reuters Limited.