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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: djane who wrote (45707)4/29/1998 3:25:00 PM
From: Teddy  Respond to of 61433
 
It's
Role Reversal for Cramer at the H&Q
Conference

By James J. Cramer
4/29/98 3:10 PM ET

Talk about the height of absurdity. I just called in to tell Jeff
Berkowitz, my partner, how the 3Com and Ascend
meetings went.

Jeff is the quintessential Mr. Outside. He is always trying to
figure out new changes at the margins, pick up hints, find
out new things about companies. He is a fixture at forums
like the one I am at right now, the Hambrecht & Quist
Technology Conference.

I am the quintessential Mr. Inside. I take Jeff's data points
and I turn them into stock points. So imagine my surprise
when I told Jeff that I had just pulled up with Mory Ejabat,
the CEO of Ascend, and he was quite bullish, and then
having to be told, "Well, Jim, that's why the stock is up a
buck. Duh."

Heck, that's my job he's doing. And he's dissing me!

But every year I make it a point to go to three of these
conferences. I do it because if I don't I will get stale. I will not
feel the pulse of the industry, know the new players,
understand how business is humming, or not, at least at
America's latest and greatest companies.

If I don't do this I run the risk of just trading the Ciscos and
the 3Coms, tried and true names that I know well and am
comfortable with.

One of the things that drove the Trading Goddess crazy in
the early '90s was that I was always jamming on new names
like Cisco and Oracle, when she was much more
comfortable trading the Cats and the Deeres. She hated the
new stocks, but that's where the performance was. She
would rather retire than change, and she did! Give me
Maytag or give me death, I guess.

That's why I have to find out about the Rogue Waves and
the Ovids. I can't afford to just trade the same old names
when there could be some home runs out there. But you
have to see these companies in action to understand what
they do and get the feel for their execs to see if you believe
they can execute.

Still I found myself playing my role at these meetings, not
Jeff's. Take a look at the schematic of my mind during the
Ascend meeting: "Hmmm, wish he had said Europe was a
tad better, could knock the stock to $42, but wait a sec,
that's positive on Japan, going to $43. Oh no, he didn't take
the bait offered by H&Q analyst Joe Noel and preannounce
better numbers. He's not smiling. $41 look out. Ah,
attacking Cisco, back to $43, but how about my Cisco
position?"

Get's a little like the Strangers on a Train tennis scene if you
ask me. Meanwhile, some of these meetings remind me of
opera. I sit around and wade through all of Die Walkure just
to hear the Ride of the Valkyries -- the earnings forecast --
and would just as soon nod off at the rest. For Jeff, though,
this stuff must be like Mozart, one good aria after another.

Guess I am jealous.

For what it is worth, the synthesis of 3Com and Ascend from
Cramer Berkowitz? Same as previous guidance. Now that's
worth flying 3,000 miles for!!!!

James J. Cramer is manager of a hedge fund and
co-chairman of TheStreet.com. At time of publication, his
fund is long Ascend, Cisco and 3Com, although positions
may change at any time. Under no circumstances does the
information in this column represent a recommendation to
buy or sell stocks. Mr. Cramer's writings provide insights
into the dynamics of money management and are not a
solicitation for transactions. While he cannot provide
investment advice or recommendations, he welcomes your
feedback, emailed to Jjc@thestreet.com.

See Also

WRONG!
DISPATCHES
FROM THE
FRONT ARCHIVE




To: djane who wrote (45707)4/29/1998 3:36:00 PM
From: djane  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
Landis and Cramer sightings.
[Internet buildout is "unstoppable" according to Landis, but a couple days ago he said networkers will have problems in 2H98. Go figure. djane]

Silicon Valley: H&Q Conference
Notebook: Advanced Fibre, VeriSign
and an Albert Einstein Joke!

By TSC Staff
4/29/98 2:08 PM ET

thestreet.com

SAN FRANCISCO -- What's the hot stock of the day at
the Hambrecht & Quist Technology Conference? It's
looking like it may be Advanced Fibre (AFCI:Nasdaq).
According to Kevin Landis, portfolio manager for
Interactive Investments, Advanced Fibre gave an
extremely bullish presentation at the private breakout
session following its 8 a.m. presentation. (The press is
banned from breakout sessions.)

"You almost can't go wrong investing in the buildout of the
Internet," says Landis. "You can argue about
Amazon.com (AMZN:Nasdaq) and whichever model will
work, but it's clear that the buildout is unstoppable."
At
midafternoon AFCI was trading at 43 3/16, up 1. Look for
a feature on Advanced Fibre tomorrow morning on TSC.

Cramer on the Scene

The meeting rooms are loaded with fund managers to talk
to, full of quotable market movers. But there is one
particularly verbose hedge fund head that every other
journalist in the room is interviewing and TSC reporters
can't talk to. The indefatigable Jim Cramer attended the
H&Q conference today, and spent most of the day
surrounded by an admiring throng. But TSC reporters
can't even talk to him about stocks and avoided him like
the plague.

Items by West Coast Bureau Chief Cory Johnson,
contributor Kevin Kelleher and staff reporters Eric
Moskowitz and Kevin Petrie.

See Also

SILICON VALLEY
H&Q
Conference
Notebook:
Amazon.com,
Informix and
GeoCities
4/29/98 8 AM

SILICON VALLEY
H&Q
Conference:
Silicon
Graphics
Does the
Dinosaur
4/28/98 7 PM

SILICON VALLEY
H&Q
Conference:
USWeb or
USWhat?
4/28/98 6 PM

SILICON VALLEY
ARCHIVE



To: djane who wrote (45707)4/29/1998 3:41:00 PM
From: djane  Respond to of 61433
 
The Truth About the "Global" Internet
URL: zdnet.com
7.html
How the Web Was Won
Annette Hamilton, Executive Producer
ZDNet AnchorDesk
Wednesday, April 29, 1998

We've all heard how the Internet is a wondrous, global
phenomenon that is erasing borders and flattening economic
barriers. Just listen to BlackWeb's Frank Coburn, who
attests, "The Internet has leveled the playing field for
everyone. Race and gender have become irrelevant and we
can now obtain the same information and speak to the same
people as anyone else."

Baloney.

Yes, it is headed that direction. But it is emphatically
not there yet. Here's the real story on the Internet's
international scope.

There are an estimated 119 million Net users worldwide
according to Nua Internet Surveys' latest tally. However,
a quick pulse-check reveals the Internet remains a North
American phenomenon:

Two-thirds of all Internet users reside in North America.
If you are a tech entrepreneur, these are the people you
want to influence. Click for full story.

Roughly two-thirds of all Internet servers reside in the
U.S. The Internet influencers -- Web publishers -- are
concentrated in America.

Four out of five Web pages are in English -- the unofficial
language of the Net.

That's where we are. Now for where we're headed:

The Rest Of the World (ROW) will pass the U.S. in Web
users later this year.
The ROW won't pass the U.S. in Web servers for several
more years, which indicates the culture and content of
the Net will be dominated by the U.S. for years to come.
The next five countries to come online in force will be:
Japan, Taiwan, Germany, Australia and the United Kingdom.


As you are trying to predict where the online wave will
hit next, don't rely exclusively on the number of PCs
per capita. You must also consider a country's telecommunications
infrastructure, telecommunications costs, language barriers
and cultural considerations.

Someday, the Web will be a truly global phenomenon. But
if you base your business strategy on the assumption that
it's there now -- or that the whole world is going to
move to the Web at the same time -- you won't be in business
when it finally occurs.

Don't Miss...

If It's Not On The Web, It's Not News
Internet's Killer App Crosses Over
E-tailers Who Are Getting Filthy Rich


READ MORE:
eStats: Internet Around the World - Internet
zdnet.com
How Many Online? - Internet
zdnet.com
dex.html
U.S. Seeks Global Internet Tax Ban - ZDNN
zdnet.com
09546.html
Ziff-Davis International Magazines - ZDNet
zdnet.com
ZDNN: Internet News - ZDNN
zdnet.com

EVALUATE:
InternetUser: Ultimate Internet Resource - ZDNet
zdnet.com

DISCUSS:
AnchorDesk Forums
zdnet.com
s_56.html

TOPICS:
Internet
zdnet.com

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