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Technology Stocks : Gorilla Game -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: David A. Stern who wrote (151)4/30/1998 6:50:00 PM
From: Elmer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 387
 
David,
I don't follow IFMX. Sorry.

I'm currently pondering a good entry point for Broadcom and hoping for more price weakness. Broadcom might be gorilla material. You will know if sequential sales growth (i.e., quarter to quarter) increases at 30% or higher for a number of quarters and they continue to hold a very high share of the market. The share numbers will speak volumes about my biggest concern on the stock. That is whether their technology is highly proprietary. If they hold share, the technology is proprietary and big gains will happen. Good luck with IFMX.

Regards
Dave



To: David A. Stern who wrote (151)5/1/1998 10:58:00 AM
From: Elmer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 387
 
David,
Against my better judgement, I bought a few hundred shares of Broadcom this morning. It's expensive and it may get a lot cheaper. But after my post to you last night, I looked at the sequential (quarter to quarter) historical sales growth. BRCM has almost doubled its sales on a sequential basis in each of the last four quarters. That is the sales in the March quarter were about twice those in the December quarter and so on. By definition, that is a tornado.

Armed with this information, I started looking for other IPOs that have had those kinds of sales growth rates with sales volumes at comparable levels. The only two I found were Netscape before it took off from $24 to $87 (adjusted for split) and CIEN before it tanked from $40 to $22.

So buying this one may not work but if it does, the upside could be breathtaking.

Regards
Dave