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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: WeisbrichA who wrote (6321)	4/30/1998 9:11:00 AM
From: werefrog	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74651

If msft puts its software in new cars coming off the assembly line it will be a whole new ballgame. Say it splits 3 times in 10 years, that would give you 800 shares at say 100 dollars a share, $800,000. Has it not did this in history, so why not the future? Jim - Dallas

To: WeisbrichA who wrote (6321)	4/30/1998 9:20:00 AM
From: werefrog	Respond to of 74651

I think it is safe to say one would have a very nice profit and with msft putting their software in new cars next year, the article I read says that it could be bigger than the desktop software industry. H'mm Jim - Dallas

To: WeisbrichA who wrote (6321)	4/30/1998 3:10:00 PM
From: WeisbrichA	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74651

James, If you took 100 shares today at $90 ($9,000), and compounded it at the rate that Fortune used for past history (~45%), you would have $369,762.22 at the end of the 10th year. Do you know of ANY, company that has sustained a only a 25% growth rate for 20 years. 20 for 20? Automotive uses may provide new territory. What about market saturation in other areas. How many people can buy W98 or Excel97? How many potential sales for NT4W/NT5W, NT4S/NT5S? WHen does demand on any of these products level off? Eventually everyone "will have one". Then the market shifts to upgrades and/or replacements and normal economic growth. New products and technology have to be continually introduced. MSFT could end up looking like HWP or IBM with their growth rates. I would be happy with only 20% ($9,000 -> $55,725.63 compounded) for the next 10 years. RW