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Technology Stocks : K-Tel (KTEL) Have the cheesy '70s records come to an end? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: peter michaelson who wrote (1299)5/1/1998 6:43:00 PM
From: peter michaelson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3203
 
Now that trading is over for the week, would anyone please take a reasoned (not just a 2 liner, please) stab at my questions, linked below. Much appreciated.

Message 4283630

Peter



To: peter michaelson who wrote (1299)5/2/1998 10:26:00 AM
From: Thomas G. Busillo  Respond to of 3203
 
Peter, I'll take a shot at it.

The rationalization for valuing CDNW and NTKI @ 30x sales?

Other than stating the obvious, that the market has priced in tremendously optimistic expectations for this line of e-commerce, I'm baffled. I see the reasons for optimism, I just don't know if they're worth paying that type of PSR at this point. And let's face it, the only reason we're talking about PSR, is that's a ratio that right now doesn't come up "NA".

As far as valuing KTEL at a comparable PSR (and for the sake of argument, let's just assume that's a valid metric), I'd flip it around and ask "is there a reason why CDNW or NTKI are trading at a higher PSRs?"

I'll throw out my top 3:
1. reflects a liquidity premium
2. reflects greater confidence in management
3. reflects an appreciation of investments already made to build brand equity & site traffic

I'll save you my thoughts on K-Tel's "brand equity", but you probably know where I'm headed on that one <g>

Good trading,

Tom



To: peter michaelson who wrote (1299)5/2/1998 11:49:00 AM
From: Louis Riley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3203
 
<< What is the rationalization for value on CDNW and NTKI of 30x sales? >>

Current market leaders in an industry that Jupiter (www.jup.com) expects to grow to $2.8 billion by 2003.

Wall Street's current thinking is that those who are early will maintain their leads. Note Barnes and Noble's failure to upset Amazon on the web, for instance.