To: BILL G. who wrote (3590 ) 5/3/1998 3:33:00 PM From: Ed Newman Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 21143
BILL G Funny how excited everyone is till they hear someone else say, "I am throwing caution to the wind on this one, what do you think?" Frankly, the professionals can't afford to make such risky plays and are very disciplined. But Gerald Loeb wrote in one of his books that there are rare occasions when a person might want to put a big chunk all in one basket... and watch the basket! The more difficult question is in regards to your five or ten year issue. I see too highly speculative "killing" type things you could do. One is to put large sum (whatever you intend) into CCUR monday and when it doubles take half out... let the rest run.... OR when it goes up 50% take 2/3 out and let the rest run.... Either way, whatever happens long term is all yours... no matter what happens. Another way to play is to buy chunk with portion of the money and accumulate more if the stock continues to follow good pattern. If you buy , say, (for example sake only) 10,000 shares at 5 (50K) then add 4000 shares at 10 (40K) then 2,000 shares at 15 (30K) and another 1000 shares at 25 (25K) you will have accumulated 17000 and your average price will be VERY close to the low end of things. If the stock retreats 20% from any point (except the beginning set) you will be ahead when you sell. I saw this in a book, by the way... it is called the "safe" way to pyramid.... But you need to get out quickly if fundamental change occurs and deterioration sets in. NOW I KNOW people will say you are crazy to even consider such things... but crazier things have been done. I know a guy who took a "crazy gamble" on John Deere when it was in Chapter 11 trading at 3. Bought 100,000 shares because he said the company was "too good to go out of business"... He has more than fifty million dollars today. CCUR is a turnaround story but with significant connections, quality products, long on experience, and relatively underfollowed. There is a large float, which means the "big boys" can get in the water without creating too much splashing... and ... well... we'll see what happens. ed