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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maxwell who wrote (32361)5/3/1998 4:52:00 PM
From: greg nus  Respond to of 1571746
 
Maxwell nicly done Manish lacks in logic. His statement lacks the support of logic. Paul is unable to admit Intel Celeron is a "crappy chip".



To: Maxwell who wrote (32361)5/3/1998 4:58:00 PM
From: Elmer  Respond to of 1571746
 
<How can you improve on the same instruction set when Intel has defined the instruction set? The only way is to have a DIFFERENT and BETTER instruction set of achieving the same goal.>

Didn't IBM-Moto-Apple do this with the PPC. How about SPARC, Alpha and MIPS? What good did it do them and what reason is there to believe AMD will fare any better?

EP



To: Maxwell who wrote (32361)5/3/1998 5:31:00 PM
From: Paul Engel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1571746
 
Maxwell - Re: "As for performance, the K6-3D and K6-3D+ are
very competitive and even better to the PII."

Such a bold statement.

I don't suppose you have any data to support this - especially since the K6-3D+ isn't even known to EXIST yet.

Paul



To: Maxwell who wrote (32361)5/3/1998 7:22:00 PM
From: Yousef  Respond to of 1571746
 
Maxwell:

Re: "1) To be significant player in the mobile AMD must make more than what
they did last quarter of 1.5M. That 1.5M was scooped up in the desktop in
a flash. There were none to go to mobile."

The correct answer is, Maxwell, that AMD's IC process is not designed to
provide low power and high performance at the same time. Their high voltage (2.2V)
IC process is just not competitive ... even if they had improved their yields.

Re: "2) Forget on the server side. AMD needs to have a single focusing strategy
of making inroad into the market rather than attacking on all fronts, a very
bad strategy."

The answer here is that this market segment is very performance
sensitive ... thus we get the same answer ... AMD's IC process is just
not competitive in performance compared to Intel.

Re: "3) Diverging instruction sets is the only way to differentiate from Intel
parts and eliminate the 25% price differential. Intel has been in the market
for a long time ... blah, blah ..."

Now you have gotten to the right answer ... because of AMD's process
weakness, AMD must differentiate in a way to HYPE themselves. <ggg>

Make It So,
Yousef



To: Maxwell who wrote (32361)5/3/1998 8:53:00 PM
From: Tiley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1571746
 
Maxwell, Re"AMD Strategies":

I like talking to you because you're obviously connected to the semi industry and have more understanding than most of the other AMD diehards who like supporting an underdog but have no clue about the business.

If my criteria for AMD's success are stringent its because they have such a history of spectacular failures and botch-ups.

- 1.5 Million shipped is not more than what AMD had been shipping in prior quarters. Quite a bit of it was attributible to the failure of the other x86 maker - Cyrix. I don't see how you can call it successful. The mobile segment has much higher margins than the desktop. You make it sound as if AMD could have shipped mobile parts but chose to ship desktop. The K6 on .35u was never a mobile part. However on .25u the power consumption is more palatable. Let's see how they fare here.
2) Forget the server side - you've got to be kidding. This is Intel's highest margin business today and the fastest growing. If AMD wants a high ASP they have to go after the high ASP markets. AMD has been competing on the lowend all this while and all it has gotten them are more losses and more spectacular failures.

3) Diverging instruction sets - again you've lost sight of the reality here. Too many more powerful competitors have tried this and failed. AMD can attempt this only after they're stronger and have more pull in the industry.
4) AMD has not been a good follower yet. The last time they were successful was with the 486. They need to beat Intel at the MHz game. People do not buy the PR rating and it only detracts from the performance of a processor in people's minds. No one understands, 4-wide out of order - All people look at is 300/350/400 MHz. If AMD's processors are close in performance per MHz to Intel's (can even be a little less - does not matterthat much) but if they can beat Intel in MHz offered, they would win the war. You offer whizbang graphics that few software vendors support and develop products for, all you've achieved is lost development $s. If AMD were backed by IBM or Moto, then they could carry a different instruction set. However that is not the case. IBM would continue to support Intel and AMD and soon the software developers will be forced to prioritize development (even if they do decide to support both) - its just a matter of time before the K6-3D instruction set dies.

I do agree with you on

1) Generate revenue by shipping 5M K6/K6-3D parts
but AMD is a far distance from achieving this. And unless they can push up the MHz on the products quick - they will be facing less demand than the supply.

I think one mistake in your overoptimistic assumptions about AMD is that you're assuming Intel is sitting idle. I know enough folks in both the companies that I am pretty confident that Intel will continue to be ahead at least this year and when the Willamette arrives, the x86 game will be over - the future is already secured with Merced.

However, you can also bet that AMD stock will continue to stay very volatile and there are a lot of $s to be made trading it,

Best Wishes,
- MJ