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Biotech / Medical : EntreMed (ENMD) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: StockDoc who wrote (515)5/4/1998 3:02:00 PM
From: Cosmo Daisey  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2135
 
Stock Doc,
"""The biggest medical discovery of the first part of this century was the antibiotics."""
I disagree, the biggest drug discover this century is Viagra from Pfizer. ;o)
cdaiseyPhD@make-it-hard.com



To: StockDoc who wrote (515)5/4/1998 10:08:00 PM
From: Bob Rudd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2135
 
What probability would you estimate that ENMD has cure approved within 3-5 years?

I'd guess 25% based on Watson's enthusiasm, the mice results, & the long odds base rates

Any clue what share of revenues ENMD would get of total revenues of an approved drug (Considering BMY & Boston Children's Hospital will definitely participate)?
I'm guessing 10 % on this.

I put together valuation spreadsheet on ENMD and your $100 guestimate is quite plausible if my guestimates above are realistic