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Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Igor who wrote (15406)5/4/1998 8:56:00 PM
From: Dick Smith  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 45548
 
Who's a miracle?

Igor writes "Sometimes it is good to pull up a five year chart of CISCO and COMS and compare them. They are both data networking companies. The story of CISCO is a miracle come true for its shareholders. COMS is a struggle all the way."

I don't get it. The chart I pull up to your specification

exchange2000.com

shows COMS ahead of CSCO most of the five years. For the first 4+ years, COMS was ahead. Which was a miracle and which was a struggle for the most of that time?

Dick



To: Igor who wrote (15406)5/5/1998 6:11:00 PM
From: joe  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 45548
 
Igor,



1) As Dick Smith showed you with the plots, I'd rather
have held COMS than CSCO for last 5 years.

2) Tech stocks are notoriously cyclical. Product
transitions are one of the hardest things for tech
companies to deal with. Plus look at the semiconductor's
for real volatility. You can still make mucho money
with the semi's.

3) Larger mergers are hard for any company, techs or
non-techs. Maybe, one day CSCO will have to merge
with Lucent. I'd love to see how smooth that would
go.

4) The value of a stock is based on its future earnings
potential, not its past. If it's learning from it's
unfortunate experiences in the past, this will be
represented in the future potential of company. For
that matter, anything about a companies past that is
relevant to it's future will be represented in the
price. Therefore, I've learned to spend most of
my time looking ahead.

Joe