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To: drsvelte who wrote (21427)5/5/1998 12:45:00 PM
From: Jack Be Quick  Respond to of 95453
 
drsvelte,
Yes, Trapper knows his octg. (Btw, I had a similar experience with LSS and having my head handed to me - you have my condolences).
I asked Trapper a while back about Oregon Steel (OS), a specialty steel co. with some octg exposure. As I recall, he gave their products a mixed review (basically depended on the type of pipe and which OS division made it). Anyway, OS just had what was pretty evidently a horrible year: big time labor problems, new plant start up problems, business interruptions, etc. Still, they pay a current dividend of 2.36%, they have a large supply agreement with a new Canadian pipeline project [Alliance Pipeline - I don't think that this is the one that was cancelled, but I'd double check], '98 & '99 estimates are something like $1.50 & $2.50, respectively, and the stock has held up well. I mention the latter because when I looked at a watchlist of octg stocks I put together last Oct., I notice that LSS and MAVK are both down something like 50%, while OS managed in spite of everything to actually be up 1%. So, my suggestion, fwiw, is that if you are looking for an octg play, also consider the more diversified steel companies. They may not fly as close to the sun during the good times - but that crash and burn thing is no fun either.
Best,
John