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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Abner Hosmer who wrote (11280)5/5/1998 12:26:00 PM
From: menanna  Respond to of 116762
 


USAGOLD's

DAILY MARKET REPORT/For Current Quotes Call
1-800-869-5115
5/5/98



MARKET UPDATE (5/5/98) AM ---- Gold was sideways this morning. Both
the Tokyo and London markets were closed for holidays, so New York will
carry the ball for gold today. The market bias at present appears to be to the
upside with silver and platinum both surging in the early going. The XAU (gold
mining share index) is also up at the open. In recent weeks the XAU has led the
physical metal higher or lower and served as a fairly good indicator of
speculative interest in the yellow metal.

The market continues to be characterized by the lack of producer hedging and
central bank lending in the wake of the new EMU agreements. With demand
continuing to rise and supply dwindling, the only thing keeping this market from
rising is the continued paper selling on the part of some of the bullion banks and
brokerage firms with a vested interest in a stagnant to declining gold market. At
some point as we have argued repeatedly here the demand for physical metal
will run the short sellers out of the market and the free market for gold will
assert itself. The level of desperation on the part of the short-siders was
apparent at the end of last week when erroneous rumors of Belgian central bank
gold sales were planted by unknown indivicuals.

As it is Ted Arnold of Merrill Lynch, the "gold analyst" for the firm our sources
inform us had been "in the market in a big way" last Thursday when the market
dumped, was back at it again this morning giving Merrill Lynch clients the false
impression that European central banks will be selling at some point in the
future. His reasoning? "One great revenue source will be the gold sitting in the
vaults of the national central banks," says Arnold . Characteristically, he fails to
consider why the central banks would use gold as a reserve asset in the first
place (to the tune of 15% to 30%). A more sensible course of action, as we
have contended here and in our newsletter on various occasions, would be for a
nation with fiscal problems to up-value the gold reserve if necessary, thus
bolstering their total reserves as required by the Maastricht accords? This would
be of particular benefit to countries like Germany which have not as yet
revalued their gold reserves. Gold is carried on the books in Germany at roughtly
$90 per ounce. Further, wouldn't it make even more sense to operate the
government on a fiscally responsible basis in the first place so that there would
no need to sell gold to defend the currency?

Let's go one step further: Is Mr. Arnold telling us that the Maastricht Treaty is
meaningless? That the provisions preventing the various nations from selling gold
without approval of the ECB and also maintaining stringent reserve requirements
will be ignored? When some central banks in Europe found it necessary to sell
gold as a means for meeting Maastricht criteria prior to the May 1, 1998 launch,
Arnold and his group made much public hay over the Maastricht requirements
and how this was going to drive gold to $100 before EMU implementation. Some
in the mining industry and within the central banks bought these arguments.
Merrill Lynch et al are now finding these same arguments a bit difficult to make,
so they have switched gears. Now when Maastricht has been fulfilled and he
has little left from which to argue the short-seller sales pitch, he wants to ignore
the accord and make even more vacuous arguments about "fiscal powers."
When you apply economic logic to the situation with gold in Europe what you
come up with is that far from encouraging gold sales, the EMU accords will
discourage gold sales because that government would immediately be forced to
tighten the fiscal belt if it did. Doesn't this all really have more to do with the
high commission business Merrill Lynch and others have conducted acting as a
broker between the central banks and the mining companies? Along these lines
just what is the net gold position of Merrill Lynch (and its clientele on its
advice)? Long or short? My bet is short and short in the extreme! Perhaps Ted
Arnold and Merrill Lynch's greatest fear is that the physical metal will dry up
and that they will be unable to square positions at a profit. Shouldn't Reuters and
other wire services take this into account when they give people like Ted Arnold
free and unopposed rein on the wire services? Just a few questions to warm-up
an otherwise quiet Tuesday morning.

One more point: Here at USAGOLD/Centennial Precious Metals we represent
a clientele that owns gold. We do not try to hide that fact, nor do we try hide the
fact that we are defenders of gold and its utility as a defense against profligate
government monetary and fiscal policies. There is no mystery about where we
are coming from. Why is Ted Arnold so anti-gold? Why has this gold analyst, if
he is truly an unbiased analyst, never found a reason to say something positive
about the metal? When gold hit $278 he said it was going to $150 or some such
nonsence. Instead it went up over 10%. Now he is back at it trying to beat the
price down with whatever machination he can come up with. If ML and its
clientele are short the market what is the problem with admitting it? In short,
why all the mystery? At the same time, if he did admit his bias, shouldn't that
fact be included in any wire service story where he is quoted?

The second printing of "In the Footsteps of Giants" is now being prepared at the
printer. Quite frankly we are overwhelmed with the response having sold out of
the first printing in less than month. There is a great deal of interest in
ANOTHER's THOUGHTS, the possible gold-for-oil deal struck between the
Gulf states and the European central banks, and the international monetary
situation as described by our secretive ( and knowledgeable) internet entity. We
were going to take the price to $34.95 after selling the first printing out, but it
sold so fast at the $25 price, that we have decided to move the price to $30 for
the next 500 copies instead of $34.95. By doing it this way, we reward those
who bought the first 500 copies and still offer a discount to new buyers who
might be interested in this provocative analysis. We will continue to include "The
ABCs of Gold Investing" at $10 (reg. $14.95) if you buy "In the Footsteps of
Giants". There is still one more major article coming out on the subject so books
could go fast. As before, orders will be filled on a first-come, first-served basis.

Call Marie for book orders at 1-800-869-5115. Ask for a broker if you want
metal quotes; or go to the EMail button at the Home Page and electronically
emit your interest.

PLEASE REMEMBER: IT IS YOUR PURCHASE OF GOLD FROM CENTENNIAL
PRECIOUS METALS/USAGOLD THAT NOURISHES THESE PAGES!



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To: Abner Hosmer who wrote (11280)5/6/1998 11:26:00 AM
From: long-gone  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116762
 
RE risks:

Daimler, Chrysler discussing mega-merger
FRANKFURT (Reuters) - Germany's Daimler-Benz AG said
Wednesday it was in merger talks with U.S. car giant Chrysler Corp.
-- heralding what could become the biggest industrial merger ever.

Daimler said in a statement that no concrete deal had been struck
and that approval by both company boards was needed, but said the
two companies were considering a share swap that would enable
them to form a joint company.

Daimler said that "any agreement would be subject to approval by the
two companies' boards along side other conditions."

A report in the Wall Street Journal Europe estimated the value of the
deal at $35 billion.

Daimler's stock surged on the news as traders looked for an earnings
boom for the company on the back of cost reductions and strong
access to the lucrative U.S. car market.

Its shares were up six percent early Wednesday, having earlier hit a
high of 194.75 marks.

Talk of a merger between Daimler and Chrysler has been circulating
for some time but analysts said they had no idea a deal was
imminent.

"All that's missing is the contract and the approval from relevant
authorities," said Christian Breitsprecher, analyst at Trinkaus Capital
Markets, Duesseldorf, who said the deal would bring significant
earnings growth for Daimler, especially if it was accomplished in a
share swap.

"For Daimler this means two main things -- first, it will gain a strong
position in the biggest car market in the world.

"Second, the breadth of models it can produce with Chrysler will
mean enormous cost savings -- the spending on development will
simply be spread across a far wider field," Breitsprecher said.

Daimler said it and Chrysler would make no further comment until the
talks were concluded.

The Wall Street Journal said that Chrysler's directors were expected
to discuss the merger at a regularly scheduled board meeting
Wednesday. Daimler's board was to consider the deal this week.

TB,
could this be Daimler is betting future sales of luxury cars will be lower?.
rh