4/98 CIMI Netwatcher Management Briefing. Info on VPN proposal by Savvis [Isn't Savvis an ASND customer]
datacomm-us.com
A manager can't move these days without running into a comment about the Internet. Everybody knows it's changed attitudes about TCP/IP, about electronic advertising and commerce, and about public data networking in general. Most don't know much about how it works, either in a technical sense or as a business. That's risky, because something that has had as much impact as the Internet in the past just might be important in an ongoing sense.
The Internet is an outgrowth of something started by the Department of Defense in the late 1960s. DoD had a number of universities and Federal research agencies working on various hush-hush projects, and needed a way for them to communicate data among themselves. To provide it, the Defense Advanced Research Projects Administration (DARPA) funded the creation of a computer network called ARPANET.
The original ARPANET didn't even run TCP/IP; it didn't exist at the time. That protocol was developed in the late 1970s, and was phased into ARPANET through about 1980.
Expanded use of the network led, in the middle 1980s, to a shift of funding from DARPA to the National Science Foundation. NSFNET, the successor to ARPANET, was based on T1 backbone trunks, transitioned in the 1990 timeframe to T3.
By the early 1990s, the "Internet" was still primarily a collection of research and university organizations, but an increasing number of corporations were added through connections via one of the core network members. The commercial interest in the Internet surged with the introduction of the Worldwide Web, and through the early 1990s NSF funding phased out and the Internet became truly commercial.
The commercial Internet is made up of Internet Service Providers (ISPs). These providers offer leased-line attachment, dial-up, or both, and serve not only the business community but the growing number of residential users. Online service providers like AOL, who offer connection to the Internet, are essentially ISPs who have services that encapsulate and augment basic Internet services.
Within an ISP domain, the ISP supports a protocol (TCP/IP) and provides directory services to permit locating each of the permanent content resources the ISP connects. Information consumers can access content within their own ISP without touching anything that we'd strictly call the "Internet".
To provide information consumers access to content on another ISP, the ISP networks have to be interconnected. This was first done through a series of Network Access Points (NAPs, pronounced like the nap you take when you're tired). NAPs are interconnection facilities run under contract by a service provider and available to all. ISPs run a line to a NAP and they're connected to everyone else there.
NAPs, needless to say, tend to be points of congestion. A second level of interconnection was added to help this problem: the Metropolitan-Area Exchange (MAE, pronounced "may"). MAEs link service providers in a region and provide a faster way to transfer information between local ISPs there.
For most providers, even the combination of NAPs and MAEs were too slow, and the service providers began to develop strategies to link their own networks directly - something called "peering". A peering agreement is a negotiated relationship between ISPs that provides for network interconnection under a given set of cost and technology conditions. Networks that are peer-connected have much faster mutual transfer capability, and so peering is sought by providers who want to either have access to content on another network, or who want to provide their own content to that other network's consumers.
Technically, all the interconnects are built either as LAN switches or ATM switches, linking border routers running the BGP4 protocol. This facilitates control of the relationship and prevents "hacking" of address tables and other destructive behavior.
The peering agreements, and the underlying interconnect problem they represent, are a good place to start considering the business issues of the Internet. Common carriers have interconnect points, and there are usually treaties developed to cover how compensation will flow, etc. So far, this has eluded the ISP world.
Each ISP collects money from its customers. In general, the money is a fixed price per month for "access", and thus includes whatever traffic the user can push through the access pipe. It is rare for there to be any form of usage charging.
There are two problems with this model. The first is the uneven revenue potential of various customer types, and the second is the impact of Internet businesses on the carriers.
Consumers, meaning residential users and businesses who use dial-up access, are essential to the electronic marketing mission that has really justified the Internet. Let's face it, people don't publish on the Internet to educate, they publish to sell. That means that we have to get those we want to sell to a presence on the Internet as well. Cross-subsidization of consumers by providers is logical in such a scenario.
It doesn't always work out on the Internet, because "consumers" are often owned by one ISP and providers by another. Many ISPs lose money on dial-up users (we're told the average loss is $10 per month per port, or about a buck per user). The ISPs who don't do dial-up are immune to this loss, of course.
Some revenue relief can come to the "retail consumer" ISPs from advertising, but it's still true that the ISPs who serve business users are the most profitable. That means it may, over the long haul, become more difficult to support residential users or dial-up in general. This problem could put pressure on the desire to expand the consumer population on the Internet, or even result in service degradation to those already on.
The second problem of Internet business is also a potential degrader of performance. There are a lot of companies who claim to be saving millions with the Internet, in product delivery and customer support. That "savings" is translating to a business problem for the ISPs, because every new traffic source on the Internet creates infrastructure pressure on the ISPs. Since traffic isn't charged for, there's no revenue source to offset the cost, and the ISP must either upgrade without compensating revenue, or let the network's performance deteriorate.
The disconnect in the ISP business space is also a potential problem for new revenue-generating services like VPNs. Virtual private data networks could earn ISPs as much as $10 billion by the year 2000, but these services require explicit QoS levels that the current router-based Internet can't provide. Some ISPs with ATM backbones can provide VPNs within their own network span, but VPNs can't readily cross ISP boundaries unless the interconnect points are capable of maintaining QoS. There are no consistent standards for QoS across an interconnect today, and there is no precedent for how VPN revenues would be shared by two ISPs who cooperated to provision the services.
Some hope exists for this situation, but not a lot. The Internet community, bred from university counter-culture people opposed to any form of regulation, would surely resist (as they already have) any kind of governmental intervention to clean up the mess. Given this, there is an undercurrent of non-competitive activity developing. Big players like MCI, UUNET, or Sprint have enough network mass to be credible in the VPN market without partnership. If these players can tap the multi-billion-dollar VPN revenue opportunity and others cannot, the large ISPs will quickly eat everybody else and the broad and innovative nature of Internet carrier services will disappear.
Some recent steps to solve this problem have been proposed by Savvis, a St. Louis ISP who is also Boardwatch's number one ISP pick. Savvis proposes a "Brokered Private Peering" that would establish multi-ISP participation in a consortium aimed both at formalizing and opening the peering process and expanding peering to provide for QoS-based services in both a technical and financial sense. Such a consortium could bring scale and mass to the smaller ISP players, making them VPN equals to the big guys, and eliminating the risk that the whole ISP community would collapse into a group of carriers who were much the same players as existed in the common carrier space.
It's too early to say how this venture will progress, but it is fair to say that the next five years will bring about major changes in the Internet-one way or the other.
In the Know
In our last issue, we developed an overview of the evolving MPLS standard. This month, in an expanded In the Know that will displace the Strategies topic as well, we'll take a deeper look at the concepts of MPLS. This topic, in the current issue and in subsequent issues, is for subscribers only; it will not be posted to our web site.
This material will expand on the summary of MPLS we've already provided, and explore issues like MPLS' architecture, its relationship with VPNs, and its implications on the service DMARK.
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April 1998 Volume 16.4
Netwatcher (ISSN 0890-5800) is a monthly publication of CIMI Corporation. Subscription information is available here . Copyright c 1998, CIMI Corporation. All rights reserved. No publication or reproduction of this document is permitted without the express written consent of CIMI Corporation. |