EARNINGS / The British Petroleum Co P.L.C. Group reports 1st 3 months Results
BP Reports Income Down Just 10% on the Previous Quarter Despite an Oil Price Over 20% Lower
- First quarter 1998 replacement cost profit, before exceptional items, was $960 million, down by 10% on the previous quarter and 22% on a year ago. - The effect on the upstream result of an oil price $7 per barrel lower than a year ago was substantially moderated by strong performance improvements in the downstream businesses. - Further growth in all three businesses. - Quarterly dividend 5.75 pence per share.
NEW YORK, May 5 /CNW/ -- The British Petroleum Company (NYSE: BP) today reported its first quarter 1998 results. BP Group Chief Executive, John Browne, commented:
'These are good results in a very tough climate. Despite a drop in the oil price of over 20% from the last quarter, we have held the fall in profits to 10%.
'We've seen improvement in through-cycle performance in all businesses, and there is more to come in the rest of the year.
'This will come from our previously planned actions, reinforced by the rigorous efficiency program we have put in place across the company in the last two months to counter the effects of the oil price slide. This includes substantial cuts in costs which we are determined to push through to the bottom line in a way that won't impair our plans for long-term growth.'
OPERATING RESULTS
Replacement cost profit, before exceptional items of $960 million was 10% down on the previous quarter and 22% down on a year ago; the decrease reflecting substantial falls in average oil prices of 22% and 33% respectively. The group's performance enhancement program continues.
Exploration and Production profits were $865 million despite the substantially lower oil price. This result was down 24% and 42% on the previous quarter and the same quarter last year respectively. Production was up in spite of lower U.K. natural gas production due to the warmer weather. There was further exploration success in the quarter.
Downstream profits rose by 43% and 32% against the previous quarter and the same quarter last year respectively. The first quarter saw continuing improvements in both refining and marketing performance.
The Chemicals result was slightly up reflecting robust volumes and some margin benefit.
Capital expenditure and acquisitions was $1.8 billion including the purchase of Styrenix Kunststoffe, the styrene plastics business previously owned by Huls, and the remainder of the purchases for employee share scheme programs. Business investment in the U.K. remains a significant proportion of the total.
Net debt increased by $0.3 billion during the quarter to $7.2 billion. The ratio of net debt to net debt plus equity was 24%.
Interest expense in the quarter of $114 million was similar to the previous quarter and $11 million below that in the equivalent quarter last year.
Taxation charged in the first quarter, other than production taxes, was $341 million, compared with $349 million in the previous quarter and $571 million in the equivalent quarter last year. The effective tax rate on replacement cost profit, before exceptional items, was 27% in the first quarter compared with 31% a year ago, reflecting the effect of higher tax relief on inventory holding losses.
Net cash outflow in the first quarter was $353 million compared to an inflow of $1.3 billion a year ago, when the first quarter benefited from certain one-off effects.
A quarterly dividend of 5.75 pence per share was announced. For those shareholders electing to receive dividends in shares instead of cash, the share dividend is based on the net cash dividend of 5.75 pence plus the associated tax credit, a total of 7.1875 pence per share. Based upon the price used for allocating shares under the Share Dividend Plan, this represents 25% more than the net cash dividend.
OPERATING RESULTS
First Fourth First HIGHLIGHTS Quarter Quarter Quarter 1998 1997 1997 Replacement cost operating profit Dollars million 1,422 1,573 1,932
Replacement cost profit before exceptional items Dollars million 960 1,065 1,231
Profit after exceptional items Replacement cost Dollars million 967 1,031 1,226 Historical cost Dollars million 446 983 981
Earnings per ADR: Replacement cost profit before exceptional items Dollars 1.00 1.11 1.30 Historical cost profit after exceptional items Dollars 0.47 1.02 1.04
Dividends per ADR Dollars 0.611 0.599 0.542
First Fourth First EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT Quarter Quarter Quarter 1998 1997 1997 North Sea oil price realizations $/bbl 14.4 18.4 21.3
Indicative global refining margin $/bbl 2.2 1.3 2.0
Chemicals integrated margin DM/te 1,078 900 714
$/pounds 1.65 1.66 1.63
DM/pounds 2.99 2.91 2.70
EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION
Exploration and Production achieved a replacement cost operating profit of $865 million despite an oil price $7 a barrel lower than a year ago and $4 a barrel lower than in the previous quarter. The result benefited from continuing tight cost control and lower exploration expense. Production from recently commissioned fields, including Foinaven and Erskine in U.K. waters, and Troika in the Gulf of Mexico, exceeded reductions in the mature fields and the effect of lower U.K. natural gas production due to the warmer weather.
Four exploration discoveries have been announced since the beginning of the year. Three of these were offshore Angola. In Block 17 (BP 16.67%), there was the Rosa-1 find which is close to the Girassol and Dalia finds which were announced last year. In Block 15 (BP 26.67%), drilling began late last year and the first two wells, Kissanje and Marimba, have been confirmed as successful discoveries. A discovery has also been made in the Gulf of Mexico, where BP as 50% interest holder, and operator, has announced the Crosby discovery close to the Mars field.
Also during the quarter, BP signed a production sharing agreement in Mozambique. Under the agreement, BP has exclusive rights to 40,000 square kilometers of prospective acreage in the Zambezi delta, on the east coast of Africa. Late in April, BP announced an agreement in principle to sell its exploration and production interests in Papua New Guinea (PNG) to Oil Search for $400 million. The deal is subject to approval by the PNG authorities and is due for completion in the third quarter of this year.
1Q 4Q 1Q HIGHLIGHTS 1998 1997 1997
Replacement cost operating profit $m 865 1,136 1,488
Results include: Exploration expense $m 66 86 83
Key statistics: Average realizations: North Sea $/bbl 14.4 18.4 21.3 : Alaskan North Slope (ANS) $/bbl 14.5 18.3 21.8
Crude oil and natural gas production (Net of royalties) Crude oil production U.K. mb/d 443 434 419 Rest of Europe mb/d 86 93 63 U.S. mb/d 547 559 574 Rest of World mb/d 273 223 207
Total crude oil production mb/d 1,349 1,309 1,263
Natural gas production U.K. mmcf/d 1,226 1,155 1,507 Rest of Europe mmcf/d 30 41 28 U.S. mmcf/d 109 103 93 Rest of World mmcf/d 340 355 335
Total natural gas production mmcf/d 1,705 1,654 1,963
Total production mboe/d 1,643 1,594 1,601
REFINING AND MARKETING
Replacement cost operating profit for the first quarter was $384 million, up 32% on a year ago. The result reflects further performance improvement through the delivery of self-help from refining operations and restructuring, and from marketing volumes. Operating margins improved for retail marketing in the U.K. and refining in Europe, offset by lower refining margins in the U.S. and Australasia.
During the quarter, the implementation of the European downstream joint venture with Mobil continued to deliver very strong improvements, ahead of plans. Replacement cost operating profit in Europe was up 147% compared with a year ago.
South East Asia results were not significantly affected by the currency crisis in the region.
New retail marketing activities commenced in Venezuela in the quarter; and results from the retail pilot in Japan have been very encouraging. In the U.S., an agreement was concluded between BP's Toledo refinery and a regional electric utility to utilize a major portion of the refinery's by-products. Grangemouth refinery completed its restructuring program.
1Q 4Q 1Q HIGHLIGHTS 1998 1997 1997
Replacement cost operating profit $m 384 268 292
Indicative global refining margin $/bbl 2.2 1.3 2.0
Refinery throughput U.K. mb/d 304 315 283 Rest of Europe mb/d 545 541 644 U.S. mb/d 555 532 540 Rest of World mb/d 378 372 365
Total throughput mb/d 1,782 1,760 1,832
Oil sales volumes Refined products U.K. mb/d 257 264 259 Rest of Europe mb/d 768 749 734 U.S. mb/d 613 641 601 Rest of World mb/d 389 409 405
Total marketing sales mb/d 2,027 2,063 1,999 Trading/supply sales mb/d 1,188 1,345 1,266
Total oil product sales mb/d 3,215 3,408 3,265 Crude oil mb/d 3,219 2,983 4,371
Total oil sales mb/d 6,434 6,391 7,636
CHEMICALS
Chemicals' first quarter result of $188 million was slightly above the previous quarter and the same quarter last year reflecting some lag benefit from falling naphtha prices particularly in the Olefins and Polymers business in Europe. In both the Acetyls and Acrylonitrile businesses, margins began to come under pressure due to emerging over-supply, reflecting also Asian demand weakness. The first quarter result was achieved despite a further strengthening of sterling against the deutschmark.
During the quarter, the European Commission approved BP's acquisition of Styrenix Kunststoffe, the styrene plastics business previously owned by Huls. The deal was completed on February 26.
BP Chemicals Inc. and Sterling Chemicals Inc. have established a 50/50 acrylonitrile joint venture company, Anexco LLC, to service the acrylonitrile marketing operations of both partners in Asia and South America. Anexco began operations on April 1, and has projected annual sales of 500,000 metric tonnes.
1Q 4Q 1Q HIGHLIGHTS 1998 1997 1997
Replacement cost operating profit $m 188 184 170
Chemicals production (A) kte 2,400 2,447 2,300
(A) Includes BP share of associated undertakings and other interests in production.
OTHER BUSINESSES AND CORPORATE
Other Businesses and Corporate comprises BP Finance, BP Solar, the group's remaining coal asset, interest income and costs relating to corporate activities worldwide.
1Q 4Q 1Q HIGHLIGHTS 1998 1997 1997
Replacement cost operating loss $m (15) (15) (18)
EXCEPTIONAL ITEMS Loss on sale or termination of operations $m - (147) (2) Refinery network rationalization $m - 71 -
Sub-total $m - (76) (2) Taxation credit(charge) $m 7 42 (3)
Exceptional items after taxation $m 7 (34) (5)
INCOME ADJUSTED FOR SPECIAL ITEMS
Underlying 1Q 1998 Results Reported Special Underlying 4Q 1Q $ million Earnings Items(A) Results 1997 1997
Exploration & Production 865 - 865 1,136 1,488 Refining & Marketing 384 - 384 268 292 Chemicals 188 - 188 184 170 Other businesses & corporate (15) - (15) (15) (18)
RC operating profit 1,422 - 1,422 1,573 1,932
Interest expense (114) - (114) (117) (125) Taxation (348) - (348) (391) (568) MSI - - - - (8)
RC profit before exceptional items 960 - 960 1,065 1,231
Exceptional items before tax - Taxation on exceptional items 7
RC profit after exceptional items 967 Inventory holding gains (losses) (521) HC profit 446
(A) The special items refer to non-recurring charges and credits reported in the quarter.
OUTLOOK
Crude oil prices declined during the first quarter and were, on average, significantly below the levels of a year ago, because of lower demand in Asian economies, warmer weather and surplus supply. They have remained relatively stable at these levels though subject to market perceptions of the likely supply side response.
Upstream, it is expected that full year production will be significantly up on last year. Factors include a full year from the fields commissioned late in 1997, new production in the second half of 1998 which includes the start-up of the Eastern Trough Area Project and Schiehallion in U.K. waters and Badami in Alaska, and further development phases in Colombia and Venezuela. The next two quarters will be influenced by typical seasonal factors, particularly the summer decline in natural gas consumption.
Downstream, strong transport fuels demand is expected to continue in Europe and the U.S., underpinned by typical seasonal demand. Performance improvements through self-help in both refining and marketing should continue to feature in comparisons versus the same quarter of the prior year.
In Chemicals, underlying economic growth is expected to remain firm in the key European and U.S. markets. However, the impact of new supply brought onstream outside Europe towards the end of 1997, coupled with lower growth rates in Asia, is generating a downward pressure on prices and resulting margins. The continued strength of sterling remains a disadvantage relative to European competitors.
BP Group Chief Executive, John Browne, concluded:
'Though the oil price has now firmed slightly from its low first quarter average, we cannot predict where it will go in the future. Nevertheless, because of the changes made inside BP in recent years, we know we have the ability to respond strongly.'
The foregoing discussion, in particular the statements under 'Outlook,' focuses on certain trends and general market and economic conditions and outlook on production levels or rates, prices, margins and currency exchange rates and, as such, are forward-looking statements that involve risk and uncertainty that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by this discussion. By their nature, trends and outlook on production, price, margin and currency exchange rates are difficult to forecast with any precision, and there are a number of factors, including the dynamic nature of economic conditions, that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Additional information, including information on factors which may affect BP's business, is contained in the Company's Annual Report and Accounts for 1997 and in the Company's 1997 Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. |