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Technology Stocks : FORE Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Trevor Goodchild who wrote (8512)5/6/1998 12:58:00 PM
From: Asymmetric  Respond to of 12559
 
Fore's ASX-1000 Switch Wins Technical Competition

data.com

Another good sign that Fore has excellent products.

One of the things I like about the Intel/Fore deal is the
possibility that Fore has found a true partner in Intel (giving
Intel here the benefit of the doubt that they're not in it
to just rip off Fore's technology). With Fore's partnership
with Nortel, neither party seemed to either want to, or be
able to, leverage the partnership. With Nortel developing
their own competitive switch, I think their relationship
with Fore was just a temporary alliance to allow Nortel to
fill out their product line...ie buying time till they
were able to develop their own competing ATM product. Maybe
I am off-base here, but that is my read of their relationship.

Intel has no competing ATM product, nor any under present
development that I know of. I think we all understand that
Intel's future success, that of selling ever higher speed,
higher complexity, higher margined CPU's rests squarely on
new applications like voice recognition, video, 3D graphics
stuff, high speed Internet connections, etc. This is the
essence of Intel's business model. It has been hugely
successful for much of their past, and they are not
ready to tear it down and restructure it along the lines
of sub-$1000 commodity PCs. Anyway, all these applications
rely on the ability to increase and manage huge increases
in communications bandwidth. As was pointed out in the
conference call yesterday, Gartner Research was quoted saying
that just increasing the bandwidth alone is not going to
provide the solution to future technology needs. The
network needs to have more intelligence. What was once one
of the drawbacks to ATM, the complexity of the installation
from a software configuration standpoint, may actually turn
out to be (another) one of ATM's strength - the ability to
install and configure "intelligence" into the network
itself. By intelligence, what I believe is meant is ATM's
ability to priority cells & packets, either according to
latency demands of the applications, customer willing to
pay for premium service, etc, variable billability for
Telcos and CLECs based on quality of service agreements,
ability to rebuild calls in event of circuit/path failure,
etc.

In reality, Intel doesn't care whether ATM or Gigabit ethernet
wins the day. Their main goal is to drive the bandwidth/
communications revolution, for if that succeeds, THEY will
succeed, and with present business model intact to boot.
My belief is they do not want to change this recipe of success
- that of selling high margined, high end, and high investment
CPUs. They will tinker with it so as to accomodate the low-end
PC. But they realize that if the PC world stagnates, they lose.
And so they have every reason to put some effort into this new
agreement with Fore to make it work. If Fore wins, so will
Intel. To me, that's a partnership where everybody wins.

Peter.