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To: Mark Myword who wrote (4039)5/6/1998 1:00:00 PM
From: Jan Crawley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Just reported by CNBC:

There are very competitive On-line book sites in addition to Amzn, BK, and Border...

Cnbc is going to elaborate and give viewers Web addresses within 10 minutes.



To: Mark Myword who wrote (4039)5/9/1998 12:27:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
'JUNK BONDS HAVE GROWN UP'

High-yield bonds are sizzling. Last year's record-breaking $120 billion in junk
bond issuance pales in comparison with what's on tap for 1998. So far this
year, $64 billion in junk debt has come to market, vs. $23 billion for the same
period last year. Demand is so intense that yield spreads on junk have fallen
to 300 basis points over U.S. Treasuries, 120 points less than the historical
average. Moreover, investors are accepting poorer-quality issues that might
not have succeeded only a couple of years back. ''The market hasn't been
this heated since the 1980s,'' says Ernest Monrad, the 22-year veteran
manager of Northeast Investors' high-yield bond fund.

That decade, of course, ended with a crash. But bond mavens are betting this
hot market won't end similarly. They note that a lot has changed since the
'80s, when junk was used to fund highly leveraged transactions that ran
aground. ''Junk bonds have grown up,'' says Bart Geer, portfolio manager for
State Street Research High-Income fund. Indeed, today's market features less
leverage, more liquidity, and a more diverse group of investors. What's more,
the robust economy has resulted in strong returns and average default rates
of just 2%, down from 10% in 1989.

For those reasons, high-yield bonds are considered safer and more desirable
than they were a decade ago. That's especially true now because ''their high
coupons act as a cushion against a market decline,'' says Margaret Eagle,
portfolio manager of Fidelity Advisor High-Yield fund since 1987.

SURVIVORS. So how should you play the junk market? Financial advisers
recommend shunning individual high-yield issues and focusing instead on
funds with solid, long-term records. To find these steady performers, we
looked for funds run by veteran managers who have lived through the pain of
the crash and have 3-, 5-, and 10-year returns in the top half of their
category (table). Managers with this kind of track record might be better able
to handle any downturn if the economy should slow. Many of the steady
winners currently like bonds from cable-TV and local phone companies. Eagle
observes that ''these companies are insulated from Asia,'' which eventually
could pose problems for the U.S. economy.

Also sticking close to home is Seligman High-Yield Bond Fund. Manager
Daniel Charleston buys only domestic issues by high-margin businesses with
strong cash flow. One example: Pinnacle Holdings, which owns towers used
for pagers, cell phones, and other telecom services. But Northeast Investors'
Monrad and his co-manager and son, Bruce, shun telecom issuers. ''Many of
these companies have negative cash flow, and we don't know which ones will
succeed,'' says Bruce Monrad. Instead, they see value in gaming issues such
as Trump's Atlantic City and Boyd Gaming. They're also interested in the
budding European junk market, which is getting a strong push from the euro's
birth and investor flight from Asia.

The long-term winners we selected aren't always the junk market's sexiest
performers. But right now, you're probably better off sticking with funds that
''plod along with consistently good records,'' says Merrill Lynch global
high-yield strategist Martin Fridson. That could help shield you from
disappointment later on. Says Fridson: ''Slow and steady wins the race.''

By Toddi Gutner
EDITED BY AMY DUNKIN