Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : Idea Of The Day -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Lee who wrote (18306)	5/7/1998 12:30:00 PM
From: Jerry Olson	Respond to of 50167

Thanks Lee Let's see what's in store for us tomr 8:30 AM should be real interesting...but we are on the same wave length, and so is Ike... Hang tight>>>>>>>

To: Lee who wrote (18306)	5/7/1998 2:38:00 PM
From: IQBAL LATIF	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 50167

Lee- My forecast for employment number- According to bond traders who thrive on rumours- we will ahve a strong employment number with weak hourly earnings.... The consequences will be that- 1st possibility- and that is what I think is going to happen-We will have selling pressure on opening, may be globex will suck in lot of amateurs and opening may not even show 100 down but in case we have a down opening I will if hourly earnings are below market go long at around 1093 support. in this case I see a possibility of- if hourly earnings shows no sign of creeping up, a run back up to 1130. This is good combo for the current market as I would like to see strong economy and low inflation, the ideal thing for corporate profits to beat consensus of 7.5% growth of corporate profits. The PC sales in Europe are coming along very well and I was happy to see that Techs were holding well at the opening. With NWX reching 366 resistance that should be taken out I see Techs possible taking off. Fudamentals are good and with AG keeping quiet on 'exuberance' thing I would assume that markets will take a big cue from tomorrow. Bonds are a good long at 119-14 level or 5.98%. 2nd possibility-Now if we have a weaker employment number the natural thing would be that bonds would rally and we may have rally in stock market based on the fact that the rally of the bond is based on facts and not escape from ASEA or flight to quality. This rally will take up potenrially back to that resistance 1130 but this rally will not have lethal produce to pierce thru this 1130 the former is a perfect match. 3-Third assumption- if we have a scenerio that hourly earning are creeping up and a number strong this is a 'blow out bull combo' we will visit 1060 within few days PROBABLY 50 days support will be taken out on opening. I will wait until composite 1799 before I enter the market on long side I would assume that should pretty well correspond with my 1160. I think that market is prone to possibility one in my humble opinion 60-40. My trade would be long dip if I find the first configuration. Naturally on number where we see market expectations being met on both counts I don't have to say what wshould be the direction of the trade. Sterling was crucified today and 1002 has held so far very well.

To: Lee who wrote (18306)	5/7/1998 3:23:00 PM
From: IQBAL LATIF	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 50167

Lee-- I just forgot to tell you that you are one of the finest analyst on market sensitive macro economics news and fixed income instruments. I think your read is good, very sound and extremely beneficial. I will request that 'Lee' is to be watched-- can you please tell me where else you post regularly? I like your grasp and would like to follow your posts. May I for what it is worth extend my deepest respect for what I think is good understanding of fundamentals. Lee- If we take out 5.92 we are going back to 5.70's area. The bonds look just good to me so is 1092 area where 50 days has moved up--