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Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Igor who wrote (15545)5/7/1998 4:31:00 PM
From: jim bender  Respond to of 45548
 
NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--3Com Corp. (COMS) shares
fell nearly 7% on heavy volume Thursday on renewed
concerns about the company's inventory levels and after
Deutsche Morgan Grenfell Inc. analyst Paul Weinstein cut
his earnings estimates for the networking equipment maker.

3Com in mid-March reported disappointing earnings for its
fiscal third quarter ended in February. But analysts and
company officials have said since then that the outlook is
brightening because 3Com has reduced excess channel
inventories in its three main product lines: modems,
adapters cards and systems products, which include Ethernet
switches and modem systems.

The company has also put in place a new business model
that calls for lower gross margins as well as lower expenses.

But one portfolio manager, Jeff Matthews of RAM Partners,
aid he has heard 3Com may still be struggling with its
channel inventory levels, particularly for modems.

3Com's shares were recently down 2 9/32, or 6.6%, at 32 1/8
on Nasdaq volume of 25.6 million, compared with a daily
average of 6.9 million.



To: Igor who wrote (15545)5/7/1998 4:43:00 PM
From: joe  Respond to of 45548
 


Igor,

That's sort of how I see it...

>>If we can not sell v.90 modems we may soon have a fire sale on those too. $35??<<

What ever it's going to take to start selling the v.90s.

>>I have a feeling that 56K modem market was saturated last year.<<

Yes, the market was saturated -- in the COMS closet.
Inventory was real high - but for good reasons.. The modems
didn't sell because of the standards war with Rockwell....

The standard got set a few months ago, but now a lot of bad
feelings have to be overcome to get modems selling again.

IMO - there's nothing else can come close to taking it's (any
56k modem) place in the next step of spreading the internet
revolution. xDSL & Cable modems will eventually come
around, but they are much harder to make happen than the
v.90. AND, the HOME USER isn't going to want to spend $100/month
(or some very high price) for great internet speed.

So, we either sit around, and wait a few years till
xDSL or Cable modems gets cheap. Or we decide that 56K are
still a whole lot better than 14.4 and 28.8 and 33.6.
COMS somehow has to get the message across that these
modems are OK to buy now; they really actually
work - I guess they need some new
type of marketing effort to erase negative FUD from the
past.

joe