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Biotech / Medical : Ligand (LGND) Breakout! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tommy D who wrote (20291)5/9/1998 8:04:00 AM
From: Henry Niman  Respond to of 32384
 
Monday's Barron's cover story is on DuPont. The story talks about potential mergers and/or acquisitions and indicates the the "real growth" is in Biotechnology:

The hot rumor right now is that DuPont
would very much like to rapidly
expand its biotechnology businesses,
either by acquiring another firm or by
launching a major joint venture. One of
the names that most commonly comes
up is Monsanto, the St. Louis-based
company that in 1997 spun off its
chemical business as a separate
publicly traded company called Solutia. Buying Monsanto would not be
cheap. The company has a current market value of $33 billion, and its top
officials would probably demand a significant premium above that to get a
deal done. But DuPont does have a hidden war chest. Conoco, the oil and
gas operation DuPont bought in 1981, is worth somewhere between $25 and
$30 billion and could easily be sold or spun off to raise cash. DuPont top
brass are on record that Conoco is "not a strategic asset." DuPont could also
afford to take on more debt, as its debt-to-capitalization ratio is 50%.

Another possible acquisition target is Britain's Zeneca Group, which has a
drug business as well as biotechnology operations. Zeneca's market value is
nearly $40 billion, but its earnings growth is expected to diminish because
many of its drugs are losing their patent protection in a few years' time.

For obvious reasons, Holliday ducks questions about merger talks and
possible acquisitions. "Companies talk all the time," he notes. "Yes, DuPont
has been talking half a dozen times a day to Monsanto, Zeneca, Hoechst,
Dow Chemical and just about everyone else in the industry."

But are there top-level talks? "No comment," says Holliday."If you are talking
long-term about Life Sciences," he adds, "what it would take to make money
is to achieve more productive research. We can do that three ways, by
spending more of our money, making a small acquisition or doing a giant deal.
We continue to explore all three options."

Whatever his acquisition plans, Holliday is
certainly turning up the heat on internal
performance as part of his effort to reduce
the company's longstanding cyclicality in
profits. The aim is to get earnings rising by
an average of at least 10% a year over the
next four to five years, with even the
occasional down years not falling too far
below that target.

Though the new high-tech DuPont is light
years changed from the cyclical chemical
company it used to be, Holliday's upbeat
story is not finding an especially
sympathetic audience on Wall Street.
Though previous CEOs cut costs and
closed inefficient operations, while
Holliday himself has unveiled a restructuring focused on higher growth
businesses, critics are still busy carping that DuPont has fumbled the ball.
Instead of just restructuring, they argue, the company should have split itself
up, spinning off Conoco and the slow-growing chemical businesses to focus
exclusively on biotechnology, where the real growth is.