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To: PartyTime who wrote (6823)5/9/1998 11:54:00 AM
From: PartyTime  Respond to of 18444
 
More related info, from Red Herring:

GROWING PAINS
As the Web expands, technology and infrastructure
try to keep pace with lofty expectations.

By Andrew P. Madden

Discussions about the technological impediments facing the Web tend to be
somewhat inchoate. The need to open up the pipelines and compress data
further is well recognized but inconclusively addressed. At one extreme are
those who believe the Internet will resourcefully avoid painting itself into a
corner, and at the other are those who await its harrowing collapse. In the
early stages of the Web's life, analysts agree across the board that solutions
and remedies to infrastructural challenges are largely speculative.

Andrea Williams of Volpe, Welty & Company acknowledges that there are
looming questions. "That's why you bet on the companies that work with the
infrastructure today," she says. "You don't know when these issues are going
to get resolved." Williams is partial to site developers that are creating the
most compelling content without overstepping the technical capabilities of the
average user.

When technical capabilities are exceeded, users become annoyed. "There is
only frustration with the content that doesn't work. We will make progress
with the technology issues, but people become irked when you have
publishers who push the envelope. People are sitting at home with 28.8
modems, and it just isn't working."

Companies like American Cybercast, Headbone, and Sandbox are using
content effectively, according to Williams. "Text-driven episodic stories are an
ideal form of content, given the bandwidth and latency limitations of the Net."

Williams notes that just as it took time for consumers to replace their
turntables with compact disc players, it will also take time for consumers to
reach the next level of Web complexity. "The quality of the content isn't
compelling enough to make me want to go out and spend a few thousand
more dollars to get all this extra hardware and software," she says.

But Williams also observes that while technical impediments persist, there is
no shortage of effort or resourcefulness to address the problems. "There are
so many people out there working on the technology solutions and the
content. We will overcome many of the issues that we worry about today."

As an example, Williams points to the brisk pace of browser development at
Netscape and Microsoft. "They are both making lots of progress with each
iteration of their browsers, and they recognize the importance of making the
Web easy to use." And in the end, contends Williams, ease of use is what
attracts and retains users.

Betty Lyter of Montgomery Securities has a problem with the spate of recent
coverage exploring technical impediments to the Web. She applies curious
logic to the matter: Technical impediments exist -- and will always exist -- and
therefore become something of a nonissue, unworthy of scrutiny. "The
problems are always going to be there. You could write an article this
afternoon about people's frustrations with VCRs and how difficult they are to
program -- or you can get over it." One wonders if the more than 6 million
users of America Online were able to "get over" the technical impediment (an
18-hour outage) to which they were recently subjected.

Lyter believes content developers should balance their approach to the Web.
On the one hand, they should push the limits. "Content developers have to be
able to experiment and create things that test the boundaries of some users'
modems and connection speeds."



But on the other hand, Lyter states, "content developers have to make sure
they don't put their most important information in the parts of the site that are
accessible to only the highest echelon of users." As for any frustrations that
users might experience on the Web, Lyter concludes that "the trade-offs are
worth making."

Trade-offs, indeed, if Gregory Wester of the Yankee Group is accurate in his
predictions. He recently authored a report that evaluates, in part, the effects of
the rising demand for connection to the Internet (see chart, page 14). The
report studies the resources of Internet service providers and concludes that
over the next several years, as connectivity increases, businesses and
consumers will continue to experience loss of service and slow transmission
and will have to wait for greater bandwidth.

In particular, Wester notes that approximately 50 percent of the business
market is supported by regional ISPs, which may buckle as the number of
connected businesses increases. "Small regional ISPs may not be able to
handle the upgrades and needs of the businesses they are serving." Larger
players like UUNet, PSINet, AT&T, MCI, and Bolt, Beranek & Newman
will be responsible for building out much of the infrastructure because the
smaller ISPs will lack the financial resources.

While Internet users will occasionally encounter frustrations, Wester says, "the
good news is that this is a sign of pent-up demand."



To: PartyTime who wrote (6823)5/9/1998 12:09:00 PM
From: Terry T.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18444
 
I don't know if the report was excellent, if the message was lost in a maze of facts and detail.

My take on this: ESVS and NETZ are inextricably committed to one another (neither one has anything else "hot" in the works, after all), and despite our impatience a hell of a lot has been going on and presumably is going on to put together the best business plan. Presumably, if the market potential is there, the audited financials and projections are "reasonable", etc., the private placement funding will be a success and we will all have some extra spending money.