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Technology Stocks : Apple Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Alomex who wrote (13253)	5/9/1998 5:13:00 PM
From: Richard Habib	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 213182

Alomex, your right the thread has a tendency to swing to rampant, unsustainable optimism at times. At first blush the iMac seemed like a vehicle that would really propel the stock but the more I read this thread the more concerned I get. The iMac is not targeted to users of this thread, the G3 desktop and tower are. The iMac is targeted towards 1st time buyers and 2nd computer buyers same as the low end Wintels. Hence it should be clearly less capable that the G3's or it risks canabalizing the G3 product line. If Apple intends to offer the iMac with faster processors etc., then they've just created two overlapping product lines. You can see from this thread that that already appears to be happening. I hope we don't see postponed G3 buyer this quarter in favor of waiting for the iMac. Based on the response on this thread I think it's a real possibility. Apple needs to clearly define iMac's market by keeping it less attractive than the G3 desktop and tower. Rich

To: Alomex who wrote (13253)	5/9/1998 9:12:00 PM
From: Phillip C. Lee	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 213182

<<I did the math and it seems a price of $60 by the end of the year is within what could realistically happen. However, to call it "highly likely to occur" is IMHO absurd, and I sure hope calmer heads prevail here.>> What math did you do to come up with $60. It's unbelievable that any price prediction can be more straight-forward than $69 (30x30/13). I am really curious about how you come out $60 by year end. My rationales have been provided in the previous post. Whether or not you believe those rationales is not as important as the facts ahead of us. Q3 results may not beat year-to-year growth, but will be well over Q2's and more importantly the earnings will far better than $0.32 as analysts' estimate. Q4 will beat year-to-year record with significant distance. Well, I am calm enough to predict what I believe. At least from previous records, My estimate is far better than yours. Phil

To: Alomex who wrote (13253)	5/10/1998 6:46:00 AM
From: Moominoid	Respond to of 213182

AAPL TA analysis I've just realized that a 34 day Bollinger Band gives the same kind of results as the TA analysis I made up myself. They use different methods but the Bollinger analysis is easier to understand. Basically when the actual price crosses or touches any of the Bollinger Bands there can be a change in direction. This will explain why in March I was worried about the AAPL stock price as it briefly touched the upper 34 day Bollinger Band. A few days later the price began to decline. However, as soon as it crossed the 34 day moving average it bounced right back. Andon may have been following some similar approach as he shorted at the peak and covered when the price crossed the 34 day moving average. I'll put a copy of the chart (Excel) on my website: cres.anu.edu.au as soon as our server is back up.... I'd be happy to E-mail people a copy as well. David