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Biotech / Medical : Agouron Pharmaceuticals (AGPH) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: billkirn who wrote (4285)	5/11/1998 2:39:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy	Respond to of 6136

Bill: yes, week to week. It seems though that due to up and down oscillation that it has hovered around these numbers, maybe with a slight upward bias. Remember though that there seems to be a reliablility factor on weekly data that we don't necessarily have a beat on. Seems montly data doesn't always tell quite the same story. Keep your fingers crossed. sf

To: billkirn who wrote (4285)	5/11/1998 11:29:00 PM
From: George T. Santamaria	Respond to of 6136

< If it were to average 4%, does that mean approx. 200% increase year to year? > No. At these growth rates compounding has a dramatic effect. Doing the math correctly, one gets: ((1+4%/100%)^52-1)*100% = 668%. No reasonable person expects that rate to be sustained for long. Using the weekly scrip data to make projections is useless unless you are carefully accumulating data every week and adding that to a model which averages the fluctuations in the weekly data. My attention span, like that of most people on this thread, is a bit short for that.