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Gold/Mining/Energy : KERM'S KORNER -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kerm Yerman who wrote (10640)5/12/1998 12:25:00 PM
From: Kerm Yerman  Respond to of 15196
 
MARKET ACTIVITY / TRADING NOTES FOR DAY ENDING MONDAY, MAY 11 1998 (3)

TOP STORIES

Excitement Absent From Canada Oil Patch Meetings

Annual stockholders meetings in the Canadian oil patch usually pump out barrels of action, with investors buzzing about potential takeovers and big discoveries and chief executive officers puffing out their chests to predict higher earnings for the year right down to the penny.

Then it's off to an adjoining room for a lavish lunch.

What a difference a year of falling oil prices makes. Today's oil market malaise has sapped most of the excitement and luxury that normally permeates Calgary's hotel meeting rooms each spring.

With world crude prices down more than 30 percent from last year and the oil companies' stock prices well off their highs, shareholders have little to cheer about. It's no wonder this year's annual meetings have a dour undertone, industry observers say.

''They're glum,'' said FirstEnergy Capital Corp. analyst Martin Molyneaux. ''You can see these CEOs standing up there and they're sweating.''

It is little wonder, considering what they have to offer from the podium -- weak first-quarter results and warnings of more of the same during the rest of 1998.

Blame it on oil prices, analysts say.

Crude oil closed on Friday at $15.13 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange , down from $20.34 at this time last year, despite the best efforts of OPEC nations to cut output in hopes of lifting prices. In the first quarter, oil averaged just over $16 a barrel, down $6.70 from the year-earlier period.

The Toronto Stock Exchange's oil and gas subindex, which closed on Friday at 6,562 points, is down 18 percent from its all-time high of 8,031 points set late last year.

''That was the 8th of October, and it's been pretty tough sledding ever since,'' said Craig Langpap, analyst with Peters & Co. Ltd.

It's a stark contrast from the last three years of strong oil markets, which brought heady financial results, rising stock prices, a wave of mergers and acquisitions and annual meetings rife with news.

This year, even getting CEOs to predict their firms' oil and gas production, earnings and cash flow for the year -- an annual meeting tradition -- is harder than pulling teeth.

Much of that has to do with the volatility in crude oil prices, which makes corporate fortunes hard to forecast.

''We've had a very sharp change in the environment and until you get some direction, it's pretty tough to be much more than flexible,'' Langpap said.

Strong possibilities for higher Canadian natural gas prices also makes it difficult for companies to predict just how much return they'll get from those projects, he said.

Also, investors showed little patience last year when Canadian companies, held back by trouble hiring drilling and oilfield services during a red-hot operating climate, failed to meet their own oil and gas production targets.

A prime example was Renaissance Energy Ltd. (RES/TSE), hit with a big selloff in its shares when the company came up shy of earlier predictions. At Friday's close of C$26.25, the stock is worth just over half last year's high.

At this year's Renaissance Energy annual meeting, Chief Executive Clayton Woitas said his company fell into a trap of straining to meet lofty projections set by him and expected by analysts and major shareholders.

Woitas said the lesson he learned was to ''show an approriate level of growth that's right for the bottom line. But don't race because there's pressure from the investment community to race.'' He offered no forecasts.

Ranger Oil Ltd. (RGO/TSE), which posted a first-quarter loss blamed mostly on paltry Canadian heavy oil prices, was one firm that cancelled culinary delights at its meeting last week.

Chief Executive Fred Dyment, who warned of more red ink this year, apologized to his shareholders for cutting out the goodies but pointed out he could not justify a fancy luncheon spread a few months after cancelling this the firm's dividend.

''As much as I'm sure lots of shareholders may be somewhat disappointed, at times like this you kind of pull it back a bit,'' Langpap said. ''Feeding the shareholders with their own money doesn't exactly make a lot of sense.''

Carmanah Resources Shares Skid After Well Abandoned

Shares in junior international oil exploration firm Carmanah Resources Ltd. shed over 35 percent of their value on Monday after the company announced it was abandoning a well offshore Indonesia.

Calgary-based Carmanah said its subsidiary, GFB Resources (Natuna) Ltd., operator of the Northeast Natuna Production Sharing Contract, was abandoning its Durian Besar-1 exploration well, drilled to a total depth of 4,800 feet.

The well showed no indications of hydrocarbons, Carmanah said.

Its shares on the Toronto Stock Exchange slid C$2.43 to trade at C$4.57 on turnover of 1.2 million shares on Monday. They reached a high of C$8.75 on April 17.

The company said its was developing plans to drill a second well on the Natuna PSC.

Its partners are Exxon Corp. and Indonesia's P.T. Binatek Reka Natuna.

PanCanadian Pledges No Plans For Layoffs
The Financial Post

PanCanadian Petroleum Ltd., a unit of Canadian Pacific Ltd., assured employees yesterday there are no plans for further layoffs despite rumors the company is under the gun to slash costs because of low oil prices.

The pledge came from president and chief executive David Tuer, who was concerned about speculation the company was about to lay off more staff.

Tuer, who spread the word through his management group, did not offer the same comfort to employees working on contract.

"The reality is that we live in a tough price environment and we have to work to reduce our costs to meet the price environment we live in," said company spokesman Alan Boras.

"There will be changes in the workforce. However, there is no plan for a significant reduction," he said.

The Calgary-based company, 87% owned by CP, cut 250 jobs in January, principally in its heavy oil division.

"It's probably still top heavy," said Robert Hinckley, an analyst with Merrill Lynch & Co. in New York.

"The company had high [general and administration] costs and had a need to cut overhead, and I suspect that's still the case, given where they stand in heavy."

While other companies are also suffering from low oil prices, PanCanadian has been the only major producer to cut jobs during an industry shortage of skilled professionals.

Although it enjoys one of the best asset bases in the sector, PanCanadian's financial performance has come under pressure because it is predominantly an oil producer and has a large exposure to heavy oil since taking over CS Resources Ltd. last year.

So far, 2,000 barrels a day of heavy oil, out of a heavy oil production of 34,000 b/d, have been shut in.

Tuer's own performance is being questioned. He took over the company's leadership in early 1995, when his predecessor and mentor, David O'Brien, moved on to CP Ltd. as president and chief operating officer O'Brien is now CP's chairman and CEO.

"O'Brien did a lot of good in the company," said one analyst who asked not to be identified. "Since he left the performance has dropped off."

Gord Currie, an oil and gas analyst with Canaccord Capital Corp., believes the worst is probably over for the company.

"[It has] such a big suite of opportunities domestically and internationally, [it has] a bright future," said Currie, who has upgraded the stock to "accumulate" from "hold."

PanCanadian's future as a unit of CP was in doubt about a month ago, after O'Brien mused it may sell some operations in the future as part of continuing efforts to narrow its focus.

But analysts doubt CP will let go of its cash cow any time soon.

"PanCanadian has been the money machine for the parent and still is. They are having a tough year, but still they are providing the bulk of the cash flow for the parent," said Hinckley.

Solv-Ex Saga Nearing An End
Fort McMurray Today

The final bow in the Solv-Ex epic is near after the courts approved the purchase of the embattled company by Koch Oil Canada and United Tri-Star Resources on Friday.

"We're very happy with the way the court proceedings have gone," said David Park, Koch chief financial officer. Kansas- based Koch will get 78 per cent of Solv-Ex's two leases of 22,350 hectares for $30 million. The rest will go to UTS of Toronto for $5.8 million and five million shares.

The court decision can be appealed until May 28, although that isn't expected. Following that, the court will release Solv-Ex dollars to pay creditors.

"Our main focus has been to close the transaction and acquire the lease. Once we do close the transaction we'll put together a team to evaluate the resource and put together a feasibility study," he said.

This winter, drilling will commence, but Park said it's still very early in the process.

"We'll be evaluating a number of oilsands technologies. It's more than likely we'll use a traditional type of technology." Park said the deal means Solv-Ex will have the finances to deal with its creditors.

"I don't know if it has enough to deal with all the creditors."

New Mexico's Solv-Ex Corp. sought protection from creditors last summer in the U.S. and Canada. The firm said it owed $3.5 million Cdn in liens, $7.3 million Cdn in unsecured claims and $1 million US in claims.

UTS licensed Solv-Ex's oil processing and metal extraction technology and estimates the leases will produce 60,000 to 90,000 barrels of bitumen per day.

That is similar to Suncor's current production.

Fort McKay Metis Corp. is under a "gag order" not to state how much it is owed by Solv-Ex, said project co-ordinator Dwight Jones. "We're taking one helluva licking," he said. "But it's better to take a licking and get something." Jones told the Edmonton Journal: "Any time you take a small community and suck our $3 million, it takes a long time to recover."

He said the Metis Corp. is "cautiously optimistic as usual," after the court decision.

"Everyone involved in the settlement should be commended for the speed and co-operation. I firmly believe Koch is sincere in their intent and the deal will go ahead.

Fort McMurray Chamber of Commerce spokesman Jeff Pardee said he hopes to get Koch representatives to a luncheon to share information.

"It can benefit (members) in terms of bidding on jobs going to local companies," he said.

U.S. Drilling Companies' Roller Coaster Ride Ends On High Spot

Oil and gas drilling companies -- bankrupt or otherwise beleaguered a decade ago -- completed their sector-wide turnaround to the cheers of Wall Street in 1997.

To be sure, the oil and gas drilling companies have taken investors on a roller coaster ride over the past decade. From the late 1980s to the mid-'90s, investors in the sector felt sick to their stomachs. But by 1997, the stock prices of various Houston-based drillers zoomed to all-time highs.

"We had a lot more drilling in 1997," notes Bill Stephens, an analyst at George K. Baum.

At one point in 1997, Global Marine rode investor enthusiasm to an all-time high stock price near$37. The large provider of offshore drilling services came out of Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 1989 only to watch its share price wallow between $1 and $9 through 1995.

Nabors Industries, the world's largest land drilling contractor, emerged from Chapter 11 in 1988. Its stock sat in the single digits for six years and remained below $20 in early 1997 before jumping more than 150 percent to an all-time high just over $46.

Investors snapped up drilling stocks in response to strong demand for rigs.

"There was a shortage of rigs because everybody wanted to drill," says Lewis Kreps, an analyst at Dain Rauscher Wessels.

Rig utilization rates for drilling fleets were very high overall in 1997, Stephens says. Global Marine, Transocean Offshore and Rowan Companies were among the Houston-based contract drilling companies who enjoyed utilization rates of nearly 100 percent.

In 1997 those three companies joined others in increasing the daily rig rates they charge. Day rates for some rigs have surged 500 percent since 1994, driving robust earnings gains for the drilling companies.

The dozen offshore drillers followed by Dain Rauscher averaged 1997 earnings growth of approximately 120 percent.

Yet by late 1997, enthusiasm for drilling stocks waned as investors turned their attention to concerns such as falling oil prices, OPEC's behavior and the slowdown in energy demand among fast-growing Asian economies.

"The psychology changed dramatically and all the stocks got hit real hard," analyst Stephens says.

Although the price of crude oil dropped during 1997, Houston drilling company stocks as a group still beat the stampeding bull market's broad averages for the year. Diamond Offshore soared 69 percent. The two companies that recently merged to form R&B Falcon averaged a 68 percent jump. Nabors shot up 64 percent. Noble Drilling and Transocean Offshore each increased 54 percent. And Rowan was up 35 percent.

Most drilling stocks languished in the first four months of 1998. But they took their cue from other oil and gas stocks and rang in May with a bang. Investors applauded the industry as oil prices headed higher in light of OPEC's apparent commitment to stick to production cutbacks.

A Little Strength Could Go A Long Way
T-Chek Systems LLC.

All distillate markets gained slightly this week off "turn-around" operations at refineries, anticipation of OPEC production cuts and absent technical strength creeping back into the market. (A "turn-around" occurs when refineries switch from refining higher levels of diesel to higher levels of gasoline. This process signals that there is less diesel being refined, thus affecting supply levels and supply-demand economics.) NYMEX energy futures are restoring technical strength in diesel markets, as both crude and heating oil contracts experienced increases on the week.

June NYMEX crude oil contract is trading in the $15.50 bbl range, up significantly from recent months. As the market reaches its bottom, crude values are increasing. Also, analysts suggest OPEC and non-OPEC output draw-downs are more plausible, recognizing the implementation process has experienced some forward motion. NYMEX heating oil contract, under pressure from rising crude values and domestic distillate production draw-downs, is currently trading in the 44.50 cents per gallon range. According to the DOE, diesel production was off substantially for the week.

U.S. spot/cash and wholesale arenas are experiencing some upward volatility off noticeable reductions in diesel production and directional influences from commodities markets. The national spot average is 47.73 cents per gallon, up 23 points on the week. Greater volatility in wholesale markets is a result of firm regional demand and lightening of refined low sulfur diesel. The national rack average is 51.24 cents per gallon (Source: AXXIS Petroleum, Inc.)--123 points higher than last week.

To keep pace with underlying diesel exchanges, retail markets are also experiencing an upward trend. The national retail diesel average is $1.0548 per gallon. Retail values will use wholesale and spot volatility as a springboard to rise quickly, attempting to maintain the margin between cost and re-sale product value. Remember, retail prices rise considerably faster than other price markets; conversely, they fall at much slower rates.

What's the forecast? Prices are likely to continue creeping upward off underlying technical strength and the reality that prices have hit their bottom and appear to be displaying a "correcting" trend. DO NOT PANIC! Prices should not skyrocket anytime soon. As limited increases are expected, prices should maintain low values throughout the summer. However, recent volatility is an excellent indicator that prices will experience larger gains as we move into the Fall (heating oil) season. If you are contemplating implementing a fuel management program, NOW is the time to act, before prices feel additional fundamental and technical pressure.



To: Kerm Yerman who wrote (10640)5/12/1998 12:37:00 PM
From: Kerm Yerman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15196
 
MARKET ACTIVITY / TRADING NOTES FOR DAY ENDING MONDAY, MAY 11 1998 (4)

IN THE NEWS

Energy North Inc., Electra Energy Corp. and Landhawk Petroleum Corp. announced that they have entered into a Letter of Intent defining the principal terms of a proposed merger among them. As a result of the amalgamation, the Amalgamated Corporation will have 10,000,000 Common shares issued and outstanding and purchase warrants to purchase anoter 2,618,691sares. The parties anticipate presenting the arrangement to their shareholders in mid-August.

Cephalon Resource Corporation (CHR/ASE) announced today that it has signed a letter of intent with Talisman Energy Inc. whereby Cephalon Resource Corporation will exchange certain of its oil and gas assets in the Pembina Area for all of Talisman's assets and interest in Fenn West.

Pan-Global Enterprises Inc. (PGE/VSE) announced that the drilling of a well at the Company's 12-6-18-22 W4M location, Long Coulee area of Southern Alberta, has been completed and the drill rig has been released. Production casing has been set to total depth. The well will be completed and production testing will be done shortly. This is the Company's third well in Alberta in addition to the drilling of the two previously announced gas wells in the Lomond and Long Coulee areas of Southern Alberta that resulted in a developmental well and a new pool discovery. The Company has also farmed in to additional interests in its third well location.

The Company has entered into a farm in agreement with Esker Resources Ltd., whereby the Company will earn a 35% interest in lands comprising 560 acres, on the Fenn Big Valley Leduc reef (''D-3'') in Central Alberta, by drilling a well, 6-14-37-20W4M, adjacent to the Leduc ''F'' pool which has produced 14.3 million barrels of oil from the D-3. Drilling on this, the Company's 4th well, commenced on May 8, 1998. There is also an additional potential zone of interest, known as the Nisku (''D-2''), in the area.

INTERNATIONAL

Companies

Carmanah Resources Ltd. CKM/TSE) announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, GFB Resources (Natuna) Limited, the operator of the Northeast Natuna Production Sharing Contract ("Natuna PSC") offshore Indonesia, is proceeding to abandon the Durian Besar-1 exploratory well.

The well reached a total depth of 4,800 feet on May 10, 1998, with the top of the Terumbu Carbonate encountered at 4,362 feet. Electric logs indicate very good but water wet porosity averaging 30 percent with no indications of hydrocarbons. Sidewall core samples were collected and a check shot survey was completed.

The drilling results will be analyzed, evaluated and integrated into regional and detailed studies to further evaluate the hydrocarbon potential and future drilling locations in the contract area. Several reefal and structural prospects have been identified on the interpretation of 1996 and 1998 seismic programs totalling 2,300 kilometres. Geochemical and geophysical results obtained from the Durian Besar-1 well will be critical in highgrading these prospects.

Plans to drill a second well on the Natuna PSC are being developed.

Participants in the well included Carmanah/GFB, Esso Exploration and Production Durian Besar Ltd. ("Esso"), an affiliate of Exxon Corporation and P.T. Binatek Reka Natuna ("P.T. Binatek"), an Indonesian company. The well was drilled at no cost to Carmanah and P.T. Binatek pursuant to a Farmout Agreement with Esso.

Scimitar Hydrocarbons Corporation (SIY/ASE) announced that wholly-owned subsidiary Scimitar Production Egypt Ltd. has signed a Petroleum Service Agreement (''PSA'') with the Egyptian parastatal The General Petroleum Company (GPC), to proceed with the development of the large Issaran oil field. In order to facilitate early drilling, pre-drill operations, such as rig tenders, material procurements and environmental fieldwork studies have been commenced.

The Issaran field is located in Egypt onshore along the Gulf of Suez, approximately 200km southeast of Cairo. The field currently produces 850 barrels of oil per day (10.5 - 18 degrees API), mainly from 3 wells. Independent engineering studies have mapped the field to contain over 400 million barrels of oil in place in three very shallow zones less than 800 metres deep. Pursuant to the PSA, Scimitar has the rights to develop the field to increase production from this underexploited field. Scimitar will receive revenues based upon the incremental oil produced. Studies by independent Canadian heavy oil engineering experts have determined that Issaran could produce up to 20,000 barrels of oil per day using technologies developed in western Canada. Development of the field is expected to accelerate over the next several years, with application of enhanced oil recovery techniques beginning as soon as feasible.

Mr. Mark R. Smith, C.E.O. of Scimitar stated that ''the Issaran agreement is the first of its kind for the oil industry in Egypt and provides a ''win-win'' situation for both GPC and Scimitar. As well, the PSA is in line with broad economic reforms and oil industry modernizations being implemented in Egypt, and marks the cumulation of over one and one half years of technical studies and extensive negotiations''. Large-scale IMF backed economic reforms are currently being implemented in Egypt, which are designed to bring in foreign capital and expertise to Egypt.

The Issaran PSA exemplifies Scimitar's core corporate strategy of seeking out underdeveloped oil and gas opportunities internationally. Mr. Jeffrey K. Brookman, President and CFO commented that ''the finalization of the Issaran agreement provides Scimitar with a core asset for growth, however it is only the first of several discovered reserve opportunities that Scimitar has identified and is aggressively pursuing''.

Scimitar holds 100% of the project subject to an option held by Proprietary Energy Industries, Inc. (PPI/ASE) to farm-in on 10% of Scimitar's interest.

Vancouver based Indo-Pacific Energy Ltd. (Not to be confused with Indo Pacific Resources listed on the ase) reportd that the Kittiwake-1 well in its Timor Sea permit WA-199-P has reached a total depth of approximately 9,400 feet, and electric logging of the well has now been completed.

The Plover Sands, which were the main target of the well, were encountered at a depth near 8,800 feet, and were present down to the 9,400 foot level. Despite the presence of extensive and excellent quality reservoir sandstones in this interval, and some oil and gas shows, electric log evaluation indicates that there are no significant hydrocarbons in the reservoir. It is considered that any hydrocarbons escaped the Kittiwake structure via the fault on its south side. Accordingly, the decision has now been taken to plug and abandon the Kittiwake-1 well. The WA-199-P joint venture parties will meet in the near future to discuss further exploration plans in this large permit area, including considering the next prospect to drill in the coming year.

The Company also reports that the Tariki-2C well, in the onshore Taranaki Basin, New Zealand, to which it is making a fixed dollar contribution, has been terminated at a depth along hole of about 9,500 feet, to allow electric logging to be completed over the 1800 foot interval of horizontal hole drilled in the Tikorangi Formation limestones. Significant mud losses and gas peaks within this interval indicate the potential for producible, oil filled fractures within the Tikorangi limestones. Flow testing of the interval is planned following completion of logging.

Tariki-2C is located within permit PML 38148, in which the Company does not hold an interest; but tests a prospect which extends into the adjacent permit PPL 38706, in which the Company holds a 7.75% interest. In the event that Tariki-2C flows oil, it is likely that the discovery area would extend a considerable distance into permit PPL 38706, and that Indo-Pacific Energy and its joint venture partner, Fletcher Challenge Energy, would drill a well within PPL 38706 in the next few months, with the intention of establishing reserves and production within this license.

In the Ngatoro Oil Field (PMP 38148), also located in the onshore Taranaki Basin, in which the Company holds a 5% interest, a workover of the Ngatoro-2 oil producer has been suspended. The well is now being brought back into temporary production, with the intention of carrying out a complete rehabilitation of the well following completion of the Ngatoro-9 well, which will be drilled as a deviated well from the Ngatoro-2 well site early next month. Ngatoro-9 is planned as a new producer well within the Ngatoro-2 oil pool, which has exceeded production expectations, and may have considerably greater recoverable reserves than originally estimated. In the event of good success in Ngatoro-9, a further well into this pool is probable. In addition, an exploration well is planned for later in the year on a separate prospect defined by 3D seismic within the Ngatoro permit area.

Indo-Pacific Energy Ltd. (OTC BB:INDX), one of IREMCO group of companies, is an emerging, new frontier exploration company, holding interests in extensive oil and gas properties in the Asia Pacific region. The Company has a five percent interest in a producing permit and varying interests in 5,770,000 acres of exploration permits in New Zealand, making it the largest holder of onshore exploration acreage in New Zealand. The Company has a 50% interest in a 2,500,000 acre area in China and varying interests in 1,035,000 acres of offshore exploration permits in Australia. The Company also holds a 40% interest in a 1,200,000 acre exploration permit in Papua New Guinea.

Countries

Gulf Arabs Need $200 Bln to Boost Energy Sector

MANAMA, May 11 - Gulf Arab states will need to invest about $200 billion in their energy sectors over the next decade to meet an expected increase in demand for oil and other energy resources, according to a senior Kuwaiti official.

''It is estimated that about $200 billion would be required for the development and construction plans within the energy sector in the GCC states in the next ten years,'' the general manager of Kuwait Insurance Co (KWIS.KW), Ali Hamad al-Bahar, will say in a speech to be delivered later on Monday.

The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is an economic and political alliance that groups Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

Bahar, who is to speak at a three-day marine and energy insurance seminar in Bahrain, forecast demand for oil from the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries was likely to rise to 35 million barrels per day (bpd) by 2005 from 27 million bpd.

In the speech made availaible to reporters, Bahar pointed to Kuwait's target of raising oil production capacity to 3.5 million bpd by 2005 from around 2.4 million bpd now, as well as its plans to raise refining output.

''To do so would require Kuwait to inject billions of dollars in new construction, upgrading and expanding the existing facilities and its support infrastructure within the energy sector,'' he said.

Despite the decline in revenues due to falling oil prices, Kuwait would go ahead with most, if not all, planned projects, he said.

Bahar said several projects in Kuwait's energy and non-energy sectors were likely to be opened up to foreign and local private investors on a build-own-operate-transfer (BOOT) basis or build-operate-transfer (BOT) basis.

''Currently, there are several such projects in which the international investors through joint ventures would be invited to participate as partners. From this perspective...it gives us hope of increased insurance revenue,'' he said.

Bahar said Kuwait Oil Company, which oversees crude production, and refiner Kuwait National Petroleum Company had spent more than $5 billion to fight fires and repair facilities set ablaze or damaged during the seven-month Iraqi occupation in 1990-1991.

Bahar said the current deterioration in oil prices as temporary. ''We anticipate... that the trend (of lower oil prices) will be a temporary phase and that, eventually, the price of oil will go up.''

Funding Worries Again Haunt Nigerian Oil Industry

LAGOS, May 12 - A shortage of funds continues to dog Nigeria's oil industry and some multinationals have cut back drilling because the military government has not released promised money, industry officials said on Tuesday.

Expectations are sinking that 1998 will be a better year for the industry than last as monthly cash-call payments are still being paid at the 1997 level -- which assumes a budget of $2.05 billion instead of the $2.5 billion anticipated for 1998.

Nigeria's second biggest producer, Mobil Corp, last week said it had cut back one drilling rig because of the shortage of funds. Industry sources said Chevron Corp had also been forced to cut back drilling and release at least one rig.

Royal Dutch/Shell, operator of the biggest joint-venture with Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), said it had not yet been forced to cut back drilling or let go of rigs, but cautioned that development plans would not benefit if budget promises are not met.

"We're hopeful that since something was agreed then that is what we will get," a Shell official told Reuters in Lagos. "The hope is there and it is on that basis that plans have been made."

Multinationals last year complained that if funding was not increased in 1998 there would be a reduction in Nigeria's capacity to produce crude oil which accounts for more than 95 percent of export earnings.

But Nigerian officials, who in the past accused foreign companies of greed, say that since oil prices have stayed well below this year's budget predictions of $17 per barrel, now is not the best time to shop for government funds.

"When you remember that output has been cut by 125,000 bpd (barrels per day) in line with the OPEC cut, then it's clear that we are producing considerably below capacity in any case," said one finance ministry official in Abuja.

"Even so we will still try to meet the budget demand at some stage," he added.

Because of the specific agreement with the oil firms, it is only the government that suffers until te price drops below $12 per barrel if production is steady. If output goes down, whether or not prices rise, then the companies also lose.

Nigerian output averaged 2.15 million bpd in April. The government's target is to expand capacity to 2.5 million bpd by the year 2000 and to four million bpd by 2010 according to an economic masterplan released last year.

Industry officials say those targets will go by the board if the government does not pay more attention to its investment needs.

"I know they say we were crying wolf in the past when we warned that capacity could drop," said one senior industry executive. "What they have to realise is that capacity is definitely lower than it could have been by now if the investment had been made."

Long term hopes of higher output lie in deep waters far off the Nigerian coast, where production sharing contracts mean foreign companies are not reliant on government for funding.

But industry sources say development of new blocks is being held up by Nigerian government delays in working out fiscal terms for contracts to enable companies to try and start production in the much riskier and more expensive deep waters.

Political analysts say military ruler General Sani Abacha has more important concerns than the oil industry at a time when he is widely-expected to stand as the sole candidate for the presidency in August elections in the face of opposition protests and condemnation from Western countries.

SERVICE SECTOR

IPSCO to Install and Operate New Processing Facility in Houston Texas

IPSCO Inc.(IPS/TSE & IPS/NYSE) nnounced that one of its U.S. subsidiaries, Paper Cal Steel (Texas) Co., will install and operate a 300,000 ton per annum coil processing facility in Houston, Texas at an estimated cost of U.S. $23 million.

The new facility will include the first temper mill operating in Texas and will produce finished cut-to-length steel in widths up to 96 inches, thicknesses up to .750 inches, and lengths up to 60 feet in both regular carbon grade and high strength steel. David Sutherland, Vice President and General Manager, Raw Materials and Coil Processing, of IPSCO said that the installation was another step in the company's strategy to be a leader in providing wide, thick hot rolled material, and to ensure that there was adequate processing support for such products. He said that the investment was justified on the basis of purchasing steel for use in the operation but that IPSCO's output from its new Montpelier Steelworks would be available to the operation should economic or product specification requirements make this appropriate. The new operation is expected to be in production by the third quarter of 1999 and will employ approximately 30 persons.

EARNINGS

Cypress Energy Inc.
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Newstar Resources Inc.
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