SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Biotech / Medical : Ligand (LGND) Breakout! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mudcat who wrote (20620)5/12/1998 7:15:00 PM
From: Hippieslayer  Respond to of 32384
 
here's another take on the deal from the boston globe
boston.com:80/dailyglobe/globehtml/132/Troubled_Seragen_sold_to_Calif__bio.htm



To: Mudcat who wrote (20620)5/12/1998 7:46:00 PM
From: Torben Noerup Nielsen  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 32384
 
>What kind of logic does this analyst use? Because $220M was spent by
>SRGN and Lilly means Lgnd got a good deal at $75M! Who is to say if
>SRGN spent this money wisely or if the technology actually works? Is
>this the same analst who predicts the .84 earnings in 1999.

This is all really hard to work out. So much depends on their intellectual property portfolio and most of us are not really familiar with it.

I suspect there is a fairly well-defined cost per patent in this business and there is probably also some kind of long term return per patent as well. The Law of Large Numbers ought to be applicable in some form or another!

Cheers, Torben

P.S. The predominant feeling here seems to be that this is a bad deal, but the market seems to think it is a good one. Why is that?



To: Mudcat who wrote (20620)5/12/1998 10:09:00 PM
From: Henry Niman  Respond to of 32384
 
Mudcat, If ONTAK is not approved, LGND will not pay the additional $37 million so they will have bought SRGN for about $30 million.

H&Q projected $0.84 in 1999 for LGND.



To: Mudcat who wrote (20620)5/13/1998 8:27:00 AM
From: tonyt  Respond to of 32384
 
Sort of like the folks who bought LGND at $14 got a good deal over the folks who bought at $18 (...and LGND was cheap at that price) :-)