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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: yard_man who wrote (3530)5/13/1998 11:31:00 AM
From: Frodo Baxter  Respond to of 9980
 
>Perhaps some will simply go into money markets?

It's been argued that the recent spurt in M3 is the result of Asian capital fleeing into Yankee jumbo CDs.



To: yard_man who wrote (3530)5/13/1998 11:42:00 AM
From: Stitch  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9980
 
tippet,

Actually what I recall Zeev mentioning is that even if a relatively small portion of that arrives in the U.S. equities market we will see a continuation of the bull market. Too late here to search for his specific reference but I recall him mentioning something like 200 billion or 5% of the reputed total whih he said in a hypothetical context. As I look at it I suspect that our equities market, while very attractive on a historical return basis, likely doesn't reflect the sentiments of the average Japanese investor. Just imagine what a passbook savings return looks like to them. For the average Japanese investor I cann well imagine that go offshore in the first place will be a remarkable internal rebellion against much ingrained and inscrutable Asian conservancy practice and mistrust of anything foreign. But I would have speculated the same about the prospects of Japanese individuals opening accounts in a foreign bank and they are lining up at Citibank. Anyone know what rate Citibank is paying to Tokyo based accounts in terms of simple savings interest?

Best,
Stitch



To: yard_man who wrote (3530)5/13/1998 2:27:00 PM
From: smolejv@gmx.net  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9980
 
>>Obviously, all that money is not coming here<<

I dont think that Japan woke up April 1st and said "Damn, the Tankan really sucks" and decided to shift gears. It's a process that has been going on for some time too. The savings set free lately... peanuts.

DJ