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Technology Stocks : BAY Ntwks (under House) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maverick who wrote (5798)5/13/1998 2:32:00 PM
From: Anthony Wong  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6980
 
The Motley Fool - By the Bay
fnews.yahoo.com

FOOL PLATE SPECIAL
An Investment Opinion
by Dale Wettlaufer

By the Bay

Bay Networks (NYSE:BAY - news) jumped $3 1/2 to $27 1/2 this morning after the company said that it has rejected a takeover offer from telecom equipment powerhouse Northern Telecom (NYSE:NT - news) . That another company would be interested in Bay's products and customers is not surprising, given that Bay's stock price performance over the last two years is not indicative of the quality of its products. According to data-heads, Bay's product quality is not an issue. What's at stake for shareholders is whether the company's management can turn that product quality into shareholder value going forward.

Sure, Bay had increased in value by about 60% (before the NorTel offer was revealed) from the depths of an 18-month depression reached in the spring of last year. With new management taking control of the company last year and product wins under its belt, especially in the local area networking ATM space and in enterprise routers, the company told its employees around this time last year to be prepared for Bay to be a $100 stock. There hasn't been a split since that time, though, so the company is about $75 short of that target. Consequently, the news about NorTel isn't just a rumor, it's a pretty good indication that the company is being shopped and will be sold if the price is right.

When it comes to technology companies, it's not always the technology that dictates growth in shareholder value. Sure, Cisco Systems (Nasdaq:CSCO - news) can come along and acquire a company with great technology and no revenues for $300 million in Cisco stock, but for a large-cap company, it's no longer the technology alone that dictates shareholder value. It's how well the company executes, which can be things like management skill and how well employees are motivated. For a huge company, NorTel has generated a very respectable return to its shareholders of better than 18% per year over the last seven years. If it can cough up another billion dollars or two for Bay shareholders and fill out a giant hole in its data networking product line, where now it's pretty much an integrator of other companies' products, Bay Networks won't be long for this world as a separate publicly traded company.



To: Maverick who wrote (5798)5/13/1998 2:42:00 PM
From: Anthony Wong  Respond to of 6980
 
BAY NETWORKS SAID TO BE UP FOR SALE; STOCK UP 15%
May 13, 1998 1:55 PM
By Mark Boslet and Joelle Tessler

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Bay Networks Inc.'s
(BAY) days as an independent company could be
numbered.

Wall Street analysts and one investment manager said
rumors are circulating that Bay Networks has instructed
its investment bankers to prepare financial documents
about the company to show potential buyers.

Bay officials were not immediately available for
comment.

Speculation that Bay is up for sale is not new, but the
market talk intensified Wednesday after Bloomberg
News late Tuesday reported that the company rejected
an acquisition offer from Northern Telecom Ltd. (NT)
as too low.

Earlier Wednesday, Bay officials declined to comment
on that report. Northern Telecom also declined
comment.

Bay Networks' NYSE-listed shares were recently up 3
5/8, or 15.1%, at 27 5/8 on volume of 11,376,500
compared with an average daily volume of 4,230,200.

Telecom Equip Makers Seen Interested In Co.

Bay Networks appears to be willing to consider
takeover offers from interested suitors, analysts said, as
it tries to position itself to better compete with
networking industry giant Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO).

"The company is open to looking at everything and
anything," said one buy-side technology analyst. "They're
looking at all options."

Many analysts have speculated that Bay could merge
with a large telecom equipment maker. Cowen & Co.
analyst Christopher Stix noted that Bay Networks
would give a telecom equipment company channels into
the enterprise market as well as "the only credible carrier
router" alternative to Cisco's product.

The companies considered most interested in Bay
Networks include Northern Telecom, Alcatel Alsthom
(ALA), Ericsson Telephone Co. (ERICY) and Siemens
AG.

Analysts say these companies may want to make a bid
for Bay before October, when Lucent - also seen as a
likely suitor - would be free to do a pooling of interest
acquisition. Lucent is currently prohibited from making
pooling of interest deals because it was spun off from
AT&T Corp. (T).

The acquisition rumors, which have circulated for
weeks, have also mentioned Compaq Computer Corp.
(CPQ), Intel Corp. (INTC) and Fujitsu Ltd. as possible
suitors, although these companies are seen as less likely
possibilities.

A $36-a-share price tag has been repeatedly named as
a likely takeover price for Bay. One analyst noted that
Bay's shares were trading in the low $30-a-share range
before the company said in mid-March that it would
miss earnings expectations for its fiscal third quarter,
which ended in March.

Stix said he believes the company would be worth
something in the mid-$30 range in a takeover. He said a
price between $30 and $35 a share for Bay would be
equal to roughly 3 times the $2.4 billion in sales he
projects Bay will do in calendar year 1998.

The company's disappointing earnings outlook, which
helped reignite the takeover talk, highlighted that Bay
was have some trouble in ramping up its new line of
Accelar routing switches and that it faces a lot of
competition in the market for low-end workgroup
switches.

Several analysts said that while Bay Networks Chief
Executive David House did not discuss any specific
merger options at Networld+Interop trade show last
week, he did tell analysts that the company would allow
shareholders to decide whether to sell.
- Mark Boslet; 650-496-1366
- Joelle Tessler; 201-983-5285