5/98 tele.com. Cable Tinkers With IP Voice
Circuit-switched telephony was a no-go for cable providers. Will VoIP finally turn the trick?
teledotcom.com
By Carl Weinschenk Carl Weinschenk is executive technology editor at tele.com. His Internet address is cweinsch@teledotcom.com.
Cable operators in the United States have long been teased by an elusive pot of voice services gold at the end of the rainbow.
Providers were smart enough not to kid themselves about the real value of that pot, and public posturings aside, their involvement in circuit-switched telephony never gained all that much momentum.
Lots of "couldn'ts" put telephony out of cable providers' reach. Operators couldn't deal with the requirement that the public switched network deliver lifeline services, like maintaining power during electricity blackouts. They couldn't do the billing. The biggest "couldn't"? They couldn't expect to capture too much market share from incumbents that had a superior reputation for reliability. So while U.S. cable operators made some notable headway in the telephony business in their operations in the United Kingdom, telephony was pretty much a nonstarter in the States, except for some bypass services aimed at commercial users.
IP telephony is changing all that, at least for now. Cable providers see voice over IP (VoIP) service as a way to break into the local telecom market without shouldering the heavy regulatory responsibilities and technical complexity of the public circuit-switched network, although the regulation of VoIP could take some or even all of those advantages away.
But just as with cable's previous initiatives into the voice business, things aren't as clear-cut as they seem. Despite the interest of cable operators such as Cox Communications Inc. (Atlanta) and Comcast Corp. (Philadelphia)--which expects to run field trials early next year--no one's offering commercial service yet. "There are a lot more questions than answers," says Mario Vecchi, chief technical officer for Road Runner, the high-speed modem service of Time Warner Cable (Stamford, Conn.). Among those questions:
* What exactly will cable VoIP service look like? Will it simply be the voice component of a multimedia package? Will it be robust enough to become a primary-line service, where most people feel the real money is, or will cable providers be content offering a cheap alternative for second- and third-line service (see "Second Nature")?
* Will cable operators band together to offer end-to-end VoIP long-distance networks, or will they take their established track and develop their services independently?
* Is it necessary to focus on one or two VoIP disciplines to make the business plan work across the industry?
* Will any regulation of VoIP ultimately squelch all these efforts?
This is the season to ask those questions. "There has been tremendous interest in this particular solution since last fall," says Jane Zeletes, vice president of marketing for Hybrid Networks Inc. (Cupertino, Calif.), a cable and wireless modem vendor. "We're aware of many medium to large operators that are very interested in VoIP, domestically and internationally." Zeletes says that Hybrid is talking to about 30 cable companies in the United States about either circuit-switched or VoIP telephony.
TWO-WAY STREETS
As part of the general upgrade move to hybrid fiber-coaxial infrastructure, the cable industry set baseline standards for bidirectional high-speed data. Those standards are embodied in Multimedia Cable Network System (MCNS), developed by industry consortium Cable Television Laboratories Inc. (CableLabs, Louisville, Colo.). The next piece of the technology and deployment puzzle for VoIP and other advanced services is to establish standards beyond MCNS that will allow the lower latency and guaranteed levels of service necessary for telephony. This effort, called PacketCable, will pave the way for telephony and advanced multimedia applications.
Voice will be an ancillary part of these services, as with audio feeds for the videoconference services that cable providers hope to deliver. Cable operators and the VoIP equipment vendors that hope to do business with them will use the basic and extended standards set during the previous two stages. The industry is racing to set standards both for standalone VoIP and as the audio element of the advanced packages. "We set a spec in record time," says Steven Craddock, vice president of new media development for Comcast and a key player in the PacketCable efforts. Working products will be at the Western Cable Television Show in Anaheim, Calif., in December, and field trials will start early next year, Craddock says.
The key question is how far the industry will go to position VoIP as a primary-line service. This is far more complex, demanding--and lucrative. "When you look at the initial plan, you have to italicize the word 'initial,' " says Michael Harris, president of Kinetic Strategies Inc. (Phoenix), which publishes a cable industry newsletter. "It's not fully fleshed out what the capability of the plant is."
The technical issues to the creation of a robust platform capable of primary-line and advanced services are considerable. Key to VoIP primary-line services are robust quality of service (QoS) standards. The inclusion of proprietary QoS features in cable modems coming onto the market probably means that standards will happen sooner rather than later. CableLabs' approach is to avoid reinventing the wheel. It tweaks and standardizes the best proprietary system available and develops technology only if nothing exists in the marketplace.
Typically, CableLabs creates specifications by combining and tweaking what it considers the best elements of techniques already in the marketplace. It will not lack for candidates on the QoS front. Phasecom Inc. (Cupertino, Calif.) recently added bandwidth allocation to its SpeedDemon modems, Motorola Multimedia Group (Arlington Heights, Ill.) says it has gear with latencies below 40 milliseconds, and Hybrid offers a channel-sharing algorithm in its modems. At least one vendor--Com21 Inc. (Milpitas, Calif.)--has QoS functions because it uses ATM transport.
The organization also is looking into arranging a marriage between Internet QoS standards such as resource reservation protocol (RSVP) and cable QoS. "The completion of MCNS standards with QoS extensions enables cable operators for the first time to begin exploring deployment of HFC [hybrid fiber/coax] local loop bypass solutions," says Paul Bosco, general manager of the cable products and solutions group of Cisco Systems Inc. (San Jose, Calif.). Guaranteeing QoS may be the most important task the industry faces. The solutions that vendors are bringing to market, coupled with CableLabs' efforts, suggest that the answers could come relatively quickly. "For the last two months, CableLabs has had a fast-track effort to get QoS injected into the standard," says David Waks, president of System Dynamics Inc. (Morris Plains, N.J.), a firm that consults with cable operators on advanced services. "That shows how critical this issue is seen."
There are other issues, however, including packetizing dual tone multifrequency (DTMF) push-button tones and developing protocols for call initiation, call setup, and the extension of PBX and Centrex features. Management and billing issues must be confronted. Gatekeepers--software devices akin to advanced intelligent network service control points that act as the link to the H.323 multimedia protocol and house call control features--must be perfected.
PacketCable is working on a device called a multimedia terminal adapter (MTA). In twisted-pair VoIP networks, calls generally enter and leave the customer premises in analog format. Digitization, compression, and packetization are done in the network, generally at the gateway device. In cable's HFC world, the IP network extends to the premises. This means that the digitizing, compressing, and packetizing of voice information must be handled by equipment housed at the end points.
In some scenarios, the PC can provide some of the functionality--such as its sound card--but this generally adds too much delay for voice traffic. In the main, the job will be done by the MTA. These devices will serve as the interface between the telephone (via an RJ-11 jack) and the Ethernet system trafficking the data in the home (via an RJ-45 jack). They will contain an IP stack, a processor, memory, echo cancellation, and digital signal processors. They will also have a toggle that will automatically shift operations to the public switched telephone network if the HFC network goes down, Craddock says.
The industry must figure out how to deploy MTA circuitry to the widest group of potential customers. A standalone MTA--with its own power supply and housing--may be too expensive. If so, VoIP may be limited to households in which other services, such as compressed digital video or high-speed data, allow deployment of a device in which common functions are shared. Such a scenario would consign the potential VoIP market to a subset of a subset--targets would be cable subscribers (it is unlikely that many people who are not cable subscribers would use cable-based VoIP) who take the other service or services with which MTA circuitry could share some processing and powering capabilities. This does not seem like the best way to get into a new business to many cable executives. Instead, MTAs costing $200 or less must be developed, says Jeff Turner, associate director of strategy for MediaOne (Englewood, Colo.), a cable company.
POWER STRUGGLE
The other vexing issue is power, which is the key to lifeline service. Today's circuit-switched telephones are powered by the networks, so they work even if the home's power goes down. Cable operators must match this to be considered a primary-line alternative. Right now, only about 4 watts of power can be sent down the aluminum member of the coaxial cable entering subscriber homes or businesses. Primary-line telephony and an OpenCable box would draw 8 to 12 watts. Since second-line services don't have always-available mandates, they can be home powered. Finding ways to drive consumer premises equipment through coaxial cables is a challenge the industry must face.
If that challenge can be met, the possibility of end-to-end cable-anchored IP long-distance networks becomes feasible. In such a scenario, cable operators would be able to offer a unique set of services. A possible scenario is that calls between subscribers on the same cable system are free. Long-distance calls to people who are not subscribers or aren't served by operators belonging to the consortium (or another VoIP long-distance consortium with which it peers) go through a gateway to the public circuit-switched network. Finally, calls from one operator's participating subscriber to another would stay within the network. "There's a lot of interest," Turner says. "It's the Holy Grail for us because you avoid access fees on both ends."
Cable companies are exploring partnerships with IP voice startups as well. Tom Evslin, chairman and CEO of IP telephony provider ITXC Corp. (North Brunswick, N.J.), says several cable operators have approached his company to ask about possible deals. "I wouldn't be surprised if there weren't trials in 1998, but I would be extraordinarily surprised if there were any significant revenue impact," says Evslin, who won't divulge the cable companies that have approached ITXC. "I anticipate commercial service in 1999." Amy Reiber, the manager of product marketing for The Williams Companies (Tulsa, Okla.), says teaming with cable operators on end-to-end IP long-distance networks is an interesting idea but that no substantive conversations are ongoing. Some operators are interested in letting the long-distance carrier handle per-minute billing issues, which have always stumped cable operators, Evslin says. Local services, he says, will likely be either free or charged at a flat rate.
Cable providers have always seen telephony as a natural evolution of their business. It has been retarded by the industry's inertia, as well as tricky technical and thorny regulatory issues surrounding primary-line telephony. VoIP may well be a way around the biggest problems. Indeed, there appears to be no single issue that will keep operators from harnessing VoIP. "I don't see any showstopper," says Craddock. "I don't think we're going to fall on our swords. It's just a matter of making it work."
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