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To: Eric Yang who wrote (13638)5/15/1998 12:20:00 PM
From: HerbVic  Respond to of 213182
 
Good point Eric, and I'll curb the crystal ball revelation type observations and state my supporting premise.

But, I feel that there is not enough advanced discussion of the immediate swings in the stock. Hindsight is 20/20 and we all have plenty of it. Most of us, with some amusing exceptions, seem to be in agreement over the long term forecasts. We can gain a significant trading advantage by sharing out introspections on the next move in the stock, even when someone is wrong.

Without a dichotomy to advance the intellectual process, learning from the thread stalls in our mutual agreement. There is always dichotomy over today's and tomorrow's immediate price movement, so let's advance the discussion.

HerbVic



To: Eric Yang who wrote (13638)5/15/1998 2:18:00 PM
From: Zen Dollar Round  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 213182
 
Can we please leave all these weather forecasting off this board? Speculations based on analysis of investor psychology (resistance & support point)..etc are certainly very valuable to this thread but lately there has been too much wild predictions on how the stock will behave purely based on gut feelings.

Come on this is SI not Psychic Investor.


Personally, I'd rather see more of this than all the talk about USB, Mac OS X, or Microsoft's monopoly. I can get that stuff elsewhere, and since this is Silicon Investor, I'd prefer to talk about AAPL stock and options. Otherwise we may as well call this site Silicon Technology or Silicon OS Guesser.



To: Eric Yang who wrote (13638)5/16/1998 3:11:00 AM
From: Moominoid  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 213182
 
Can we please leave all these weather forecasting off this board? Speculations based on analysis of
investor psychology (resistance & support point)..etc are certainly very valuable to this thread but
lately there has been too much wild predictions on how the stock will behave purely based on gut
feelings.


1. This is a "support line" if you want to call it that at $28:50 which is the 34 day moving average. This isn't based on my gut feeling or "psychological analysis". It's based on statistical analysis. I've found the method I developed with autocorrelation coefficients corresponds pretty well with TA based on a version of Bollinger Bands. If anyone wants to take notice that's my prediction of a good buying opportunity.

2. You don't complain when people post here their predictions for AAPL's earnings

David