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Biotech / Medical : Eli Lilly -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Barron Von Hymen who wrote (219)5/15/1998 5:42:00 PM
From: Anthony Wong  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 642
 
LLY's strength today in an otherwise weak day for pharmaceuticals signals still good things to come. I expect a new high for LLY very soon.



To: Barron Von Hymen who wrote (219)5/15/1998 8:05:00 PM
From: Anthony Wong  Respond to of 642
 
Cancer Conference Draws Unprecedented Public, Investor Interest

Bloomberg News
May 15, 1998, 3:50 p.m. PT

Cancer Conference Draws Unprecedented Public, Investor Interest

Los Angeles, May 15 (Bloomberg) -- Biotechnology firms and
big drug companies with cutting-edge research on cancer are
basking in unprecedented media and public interest as the premier
medical conference on cancer opens this weekend in Los Angeles.

The American Society of Clinical Oncology's annual
conference ''will be probably the most watched in the 19 years
I've been attending,'' said Charles Engelberg, an
analyst with Americal Securities.

This year's conference will be the largest ever, with about
20,000 attending - 6,000 more than last year, organizers say.
Press attendance is expected to be up as much as 25 percent,
after a glowing New York Times report on the cancer-fighting
effect of two experimental drugs in mice focused the attention of
investors and the imagination of the public on the potential for
hot new drugs.
Conference planners have readied fax machines and row upon
row of phone lines and fax machines for the hordes of television,
print and radio reporters they expect will show up, to hear
what's hot in cancer.

The maker of the experimental drugs touted as a potential
cure in the Times report, EntreMed Inc., is still years away from
marketing them. Still, for cancer doctors and companies making
painstaking headway against the stubborn killer, this year's
conference offers the chance to vaunt new and upcoming treatments
which -- though not as splashy as a potential cure -- hold
promise for changing the way cancer is treated.

Investor interest at the conference will focus on companies
including Eli Lilly & Co., Genentech Inc., and Sequus
Pharmaceuticals Inc., that have drugs in the final stages of
testing that aim to shrink tumors, boost treatments or even
prevent cancer altogether.

Out of the Lab
''Progress is being made,'' Robert Mayer, President of the
American Society of Clinical Oncology said in an interview with
the Bloomberg Forum.

''A whole new panoply of potential new treatments -- which
have been maturing, gestating really, in the lab for 15 years -
now we are beginning to be able to apply.''

Mayer said promising treatments include drugs being tested
by Genentech Inc. for treating advanced spreading breast cancer,
by Pharmacia & Upjohn Inc. for late stage colon cancer, and by
Zeneca Group and Eli Lilly & Co. for preventing breast cancer are
just a few of the offerings at the conference which could
dramatically change the outlook for cancer patients.

''This is all sort of coming together both in the present
and for the future,'' he said. ''God knows what we'll have in the
future which will be even better.''

These companies, with drugs already on the market or in
final stages of testing and are also that much closer to grabbing
a share of the multibillion dollar market for cancer drugs.

Investors will be watching for data from companies including
South San Francisco-based Genentech, which will present early
human trials on its treatment to stop tumors by shrinking their
blood vessels, a strategy similar to the one EntreMed is
pursuing.

If this works, Genentech ''will be the first to do it,''
said Jon Alsenas, an analyst with Furman Selz LLC.

More important to most investors and patients, however, are
studies Genentech will present on Herceptin, its revolutionary
breast cancer drug and a member of a brand new class of so-called
monoclonal antibody drugs to be used to treat cancer.

Genentech's drug is designed to work in women who produce
too much of a certain destructive protein, making their breast
cancers that much more menacing. The drug acts in a very precise
way, latching onto and inactivating the receptors for that
protein.

Another biotechnology company hoping to reap the benefits of
increased attention is Sequus Pharmaceuticals. The Menlo Park,
California-based firm is going to present an array of data from
22 studies of its drug Doxil -- currently approved to treat the
decreasing number of patients with the AIDS-related Kaposi's
sarcoma cancer -- to treat different forms of cancer. Exposure at
the conference could lead doctors to use its drug much more
widely, analysts say.

''In the cancer market, the studies you do have the most to
do with driving the product forward,'' said Craig Henderson,
chairman and chief executive officer at Sequus. About half of the
drug's use already comes from uses that have yet to be approved,
he said.

And approval for wider uses could drive sales to $150
million by 2001 from $30 million last year, according to Leslie
Wright, an analyst with BancAmerica Robertson Stephens.

Lilly's Coming-Out

At least one coming-out party for a big pharmaceutical
company will be held Monday night, as Eli Lilly steps center
stage and researchers present the long awaited results of cancer
prevention studies of its bone protector, Evista.

Stakes on Monday will be high, because Lilly needs to
present convincing data to boost confidence in the drug's
blockbuster potential, analysts said. Disappointing early sales
of Evista have made Lilly fall about almost one percent this
year, lagging the 19 percent return of the Standard & Poor's
Drugs Index.

Shares in the Indianapolis, Indiana-based company jumped 8
percent last month just on an advance summary of the data to be
shown. Since then, Lilly shares have declined on worries that the
drug won't perform as expected.

And analysts say the company is hoping the breast cancer
prevention use will drive a growth in sales for the drug over
time. Researched and approved in the U.S. as a designer hormone
drug for preventing the bone loss which strikes most women after
menopause, Evista has since shown evidence of protecting women
from other possible medical problems, including heart disease,
and -- the topic of Monday's presentation -- breast and uterine
cancers.

Lilly's presentations at ASCO also may let it ride the
coattails of another breast cancer drug, tamoxifen, which is sold
by Zeneca Group Plc and Barr Laboratories, analysts said.

Tamoxifen has been found to prevent breast cancer as well as
treat it.

''They're trying to borrow some of the excitement from
tamoxifen,'' Saks said.

While Zeneca's drug could be approved by the Food and Drug
Administration within the next six months, the drug carries an
increased risk of other cancers -- something Lilly's Evista,
still in earlier testing stages, has yet to show.

And ASCO president Mayer says much of the news, if not show-
stopping is more hopeful than ever.

''Its very, very exciting,'' Mayer said.

--Kristin Reed with reporting by Jim Finkle in Los Angeles and



To: Barron Von Hymen who wrote (219)5/17/1998 10:43:00 AM
From: Anthony Wong  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 642
 
Lilly to Take Stage With Good News on Breast Cancer Prevention

Bloomberg News
May 16, 1998, 1:21 p.m. PT

Lilly to Take Stage With Good News on Breast Cancer Prevention

Los Angeles, May 16 (Bloomberg) -- Eli Lilly & Co. will
present test results Monday at a cancer conference showing if its
Evista drug, now used to prevent bone loss, fulfills its promise
for preventing breast and uterine cancer.

Lilly shares gained 14 percent in two days last month after
an enticing glimpse of the data in abstracts, or short summaries,
of studies to be featured at the annual meeting of the American
Society of Clinical Oncology, which begins today in Los Angeles.

Developed as a designer hormone drug for preventing the bone
loss which strikes most women after menopause, Evista has since
shown evidence of protecting women from other possible medical
problems, including heart disease and cancer.

''You could have a very significant share price appreciation
in one day,'' if the drug's preventative benefits hold up to the
scrutiny of doctors and analysts, said Akhtar Samad, an analyst
with Mehta Partners LLC. ''I think that the data looks very
promising at the abstract level. The important questions are
going to be addressed in the oral presentation.''

Lilly is presenting data from a study of over 7,700 women
who took the drug for its bone preserving effects. The study is
expected to show that women who took the drug were significantly
less likely to develop a new breast cancer than women taking a
sugar pill instead.

The study is also expected to show the women taking Evista
had a reduction in the risk of uterine cancer as well.

Side Effects

That's particularly significant because British drugmaker
Zeneca Group Plc's tamoxifen, the first and only other drug shown
to reduce a woman's risk of breast cancer, has been shown to
actually increase her odds of developing uterine cancer.

Because of those side effects, the tamoxifen drug, which
could be approved by the Food and Drug Administration within the
next six months, is not a drug for routine use in all women,
cancer experts said. The drug was tested in women at a very high
risk of breast cancer, and could soon offer a very important new
choice for such women.

Researchers will present and discuss full data on the
tamoxifen trial -- most of which has previously been released --
on Monday as well.

Lilly's drug is years behind tamoxifen in terms of the kind
of testing which is needed to ensure safety and a dependable
benefit. Still, if data bears out that Evista is free of the
uterine cancer side effect -- in fact protects against it -- the
drug could see boost in sales down the road, analysts said.

'Big Product'

''If these data are confirmed, its going to be a really big
product,'' said Sergio Traversa, who follows Lilly for Mehta
Partners. ''It becomes really almost perfect, if we can speak
about perfect for a pharmaceutical product.''

Shares in Indianapolis, Indiana-based Eli Lilly closed up
7/16 at 68 7/16 Friday.

Stakes on Monday will be high, because Lilly needs to
present convincing data and boost confidence in the drug's
blockbuster potential, analysts said.

Big sales for Evista are important for Lilly as the company
looks to replace its big blockbuster drug Prozac. Currently the
world's best selling anti-depressant, Prozac will likely see its
patent expire by 2004.

Disappointing early sales of Evista have made Lilly fall
about almost 1 percent this year, lagging the 19 percent return
of the Standard & Poor's Drugs Index.

''For what they expected to be a home run, it's been a
single or a double,'' said David Saks, a Gruntal & Co. analyst
who has a ''neutral'' rating on the company.

Slow Introduction

Saks said the company is hoping the breast cancer prevention
use will drive a growth in sales for the drug over time. The anti-
osteoporosis drug had a slow introduction, he said, and still
lags behind Whitehouse Station, New Jersey-based Merck & Co.'s
Fosamax.

Merck's drug is approved for treating the bone-thinning
condition, while Evista is cleared only for prevention.

Evista and tamoxifen, which is sold under the brand name
Nolvadex and also in a generic form by Barr Laboratories Inc. in
the U.S., are part of a class of drugs that mimic the action of
the hormone estrogen in some parts of the body and counteract its
effects in others. Pfizer Inc., Novo Nordisk A/S and SmithKline
Beecham Plc are developing similar drugs.

Breast cancer is the most common form of the disease in
women, and among cancers only lung cancer kills more women every
year. An estimated 180,300 new cases of breast cancer will be
diagnosed in 1998, according to the American Society of Clinical
Oncology.

Lilly can also expect to benefit from a slew of studies
being presented throughout the conference on its Gemzar drug.
Approved by the FDA for treating pancreatic cancer, a relatively
rare cancer with few treatments, the drug is showing evidence of
being much more versatile.

An advisory panel to the FDA in March recommended the agency
widen its clearance of the drug to include patients with advanced
lung cancer. Lilly is expected to present data on a wide range of
uses for the drug including ovarian, lung and bladder cancer.
With cancer doctors quick to adopt new treatment options for
their very sick patients, Lilly could see increased sales of the
drug soon if the data is strong, analysts said.

''The doctors that proscribe Gemzar are at that
conference,'' said Alex Zisson, an analyst at Hambrecht & Quist.
''There can be pretty quick off label use.''

--Kristin Reed in Los Angeles with reporting from Kerry Dooley in