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Technology Stocks : Wind River Systems - Technical Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: carolyn walder who wrote (209)	5/18/1998 1:37:00 AM
From: Snowshoe	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 431

>>The implication in your statement is that WIND can't make the numbers like they used to - I wouldn't make that statement.<< I'm aware that WIND is managing earnings conservatively and being careful to avoid the end-of-quarter "hockey stick". But we seem to have had a steadily declining growth rate during the last year... Wind River Systems Earnings (In thousands) Revenue Income Quarter Revenue Income Growth Growth ------- ------- ------ ------- ------ Q1-FY96 8,700 667 Q2-FY96 10,100 1,207 Q3-FY96 11,400 1,537 Q4-FY96 13,800 1,972 Q1-FY97 12,600 1,470 45% 119% Q2-FY97 15,000 2,090 49% 73% Q3-FY97 16,600 3,460 46% 125% Q4-FY97 19,800 4,260 44% 116% Q1-FY98 18,400 2,950 46% 101% Q2-FY98 22,000 3,870 47% 85% Q3-FY98 24,000 5,210 45% 51% Q4-FY98 28,000 6,190* 41% 45% Here are some scenarios for the coming earnings report, showing the rate of earnings growth given various per/share earnings... Q1-FY99 scenarios... .15/shr 3,840 30% .16/shr 4,096 39% .17/shr 4,352 48% .18/shr 4,608 56% *Before subtracting one-time charge against earnings. WIND needs to exceed by at least 2 cents to reverse the trend.