To: Mohan Marette who wrote (670 ) 5/18/1998 5:32:00 PM From: LoLoLoLita Respond to of 12475
Mohan, If they can fit their H bomb into a one-ton package delivered by a missile, they're doing very well indeed. But I'd be very surprised. It's more likely that they're weaponizing the 12-kiloton device for the missile warhead, and would make the "H bomb" into a gravity bomb. It took the U.S. and Soviet Union quite a number of nuclear tests spanning several years before they were able to have multi-stage thermonuclear weapons deliverable via ballistic missile. In any event, computer simulations are helpful, but there is no substitute for at least partial-yield (i.e., sub-kiloton) testing of any finalized weapon system that incorporates all the bells and whistles, locks and keys, etc. Despite all the many tests and detailed computer codes available to the U.S. I'm quite far from alone in thinking that it would be impossible for the U.S. to develop a wholly new nuclear weapon and place it in the hands of the military without a nuclear test. There may be some in the U.S. nuclear weapons design establishment (i.e., the DOE national labs) who would like to see such a thing, but if the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) doesn't accept it, they have no customer for the product. The military tends to be very cautious in these matters, demanding test results. And there is an inevitable balancing of interests because U.S. nuclear weapons are designed and manufactured by the civilian DOE, while they are deployed by the military DoD. One fear of the military in deploying any new weapon is that if it turns out to be a dud, they would have been better off without it. What this means for India is that they will probably need to conduct more tests after the thermonuclear device is fully weaponized, but these may not need to be conducted at full yield. David