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To: Richard Mazzarella who wrote (2009)5/18/1998 8:22:00 PM
From: ted  Respond to of 4783
 
Jim, joined TOP DOG NEWS LETTER yesterday. I am also new to typing my post so please bare with me.



To: Richard Mazzarella who wrote (2009)5/18/1998 11:34:00 PM
From: Mr Metals  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 4783
 
State of mind can have an important influence on
an investor's decision making process. An investor
who has an opinion about a stock can often ignore
reality and make a bad decision when buying or
selling. Remembering that share price is based
upon the present value of future earnings
expectations, one should never be swayed by the
emotion of the market.

Despite this, we constantly see the same mistakes
being made, both in
buying bad opportunities or ignoring good ones.
Investors who have lost on a stock rarely come
back to play that stock again. It is as though they
connect the stock with some sort of suffering and
believe that owning the stock will inevitably lead to
suffering. A company that failed to materialize
once before may have a completely new, good
opportunity which can take their share price
higher. Yet the once bitten shareholder is twice
shy, and prefers to leave the stock alone.

In some instances, there is some sense in this
since poor management can repeatedly make bad
business deals which never materialize. However,
in a business like resource exploration, a lot of
success can be determined by luck. Simply, when
considering any stock, don't put too much
emphasis on what has happened in the past as it
may cloud your judgement. A stock has no
morality.

The ability of the promotion machine to put
investors in positive state is another trap that
investors fall into. The best promoters are
psychological wizards, knowing how to reference
positive states and connect those strong feelings of
confidence and prosperity to their own stocks.
Smooth talking and the ability to piece together an
exciting story combine to create an optimism that
makes people buy a stock. When one is aware of
how the stories are written to manipulate the
investor, it become easy to spot.

However, many investors fall into the trap and buy
the dream. With the
dream comes illusions that the fundamentals of the
company can not live up to. Now, the dream can
take a stock a long ways up. But the sad thing is,
those who dream often don't wake up in time and
end up holding almost worthless paper when
reality sets in.

So many of the best promoters and stock traders
have backgrounds in
psychology. They are able to recognize and
understand the reasons why
stocks are under or over valued and take
advantage in this moment of market inefficiency.
Understanding the power of the mind to change
perceptions is an important step in becoming a
good stock trader.

Mr Metals