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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: drsvelte who wrote (22497)5/20/1998 1:30:00 PM
From: Bazmataz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
But did you buy MDCO to trade or to keep?eom



To: drsvelte who wrote (22497)5/20/1998 6:19:00 PM
From: drsvelte  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Here are two recent posts from the legendary P Engr from the AOL boards. He hasn't been right all the time, but he has called some pretty big moves:

Subject: ACCUMLATE!!!!!!
Date: Wed, May 20, 1998 00:16 EDT
From: P Engr
Message-id: <1998052004164900.AAA05684@ladder01.news.aol.com>

<<<<Sure would appreciate a post from the top. Any comments on oil service sector will be greatly appreciated PEngr. THANKS>>>>

I am convinced that we are in leg 3. I think that group
rotation in the market just has simply not made it to the
oilfield services sector as yet--but it will!! I think fundamentals for
the offshore sector are nothing shy of spectacular for
the next 10-15 years. The current market pullbacks from recent
highs for the group is a very opportune time to accumulate more
shares. I am particularly attracted to DO at todays level (48.5).
Next in order, I am adding to:
GLM (23.5), RIG (52), ESV (28), RDC (28), NE (30).

From these levels, I think that 2-3 bagger returns will be enjoyed
over the next 1-2 years.

I am not adding to land (except NBR at 20-21). As we move into
summer, the El Nino may cause an abnormally hot season-----
if so, natural gas prices will surge------THIS will change the land
situation abruptly and those stocks will have significant moves.

Enjoy Leg Three!!!!

All IMHO
P Engr.

Subject: Re: Natural Gas
Date: Wed, May 20, 1998 00:48 EDT
From: P Engr
Message-id: <1998052004482000.AAA04429@ladder03.news.aol.com>

Agree with Stratdog-------
with these points added:

1) In light of this winter having been the 2nd warmest winter
on record-------The Strong natural gas prices are extremely
bullish. Supply/Demand are crossing over. We are entering
a long term----(many years)-----Shortage of natural gas.

2) If this summer is abnormally warm----we should see prices surge--
perhaps to the $3.50 range---depending on just how Warm (or HOT!!).

3) In any event, with 160 TCF of reserves and 23 TCF/year consumption
(which is growing around 2% per year) coupled with low rig count
(remember we got up to 5100+ rigs running in 1981---and just replaced
consumption)--------A day of reckoning is coming----we have been
on this collision course for 17 years. Weather it is this summer,
or next winter----the shortage is coming.

4) The shortage will seem endless----even with $5+/mcf natural gas
prices-----because the infrastructure of the domestic drilling industry
has been decimated. Despite the extremely rewarding profitability
for E&P, there won't be sufficient natural gas developed to replace
consumption-------------due to the rig bottleneck---------and that
bottleneck will take 5-10 years of high dayrates to get rid of.

Enjoy the coming Shortage------of natural gas And RIGS!!!!!

All IMHO!!!
P Engr.