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Biotech / Medical : VD's Model Portfolio & Discussion Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Harold Engstrom who wrote (4956)5/21/1998 1:54:00 AM
From: Vector1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9719
 
Harold,
I pulled the following from a Paine Webber report on the convert . The report was issue today.
<<We rate Genzyme attractive and based on a mid-20 multiple on
our 1999 EPS estimate of $1.70, our 12-month target price range is $35-
40.>>

I believe the consensus for the year is about $1.40. If Renagel gets approved there is significant upside to the $1.70 99 number. The market has totally discounted Seprafilm so there is upside there to. The risk is the continued weakness in the surgical business which was a mistake in the first place. Low margins and powerful competitors. In sum the downside is minimal and the upside is a 50% gain in 12 months.
V1