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To: TREND1 who wrote (33766)5/20/1998 8:57:00 PM
From: DavidG  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 53903
 
Larry,

Thanks for the new chart....Question: How wide can the MU channel get?

It is now about 7 points wide.

DavidG



To: TREND1 who wrote (33766)5/20/1998 9:19:00 PM
From: DavidG  Respond to of 53903
 
Larry,

Here is something for the bulls and bears to think about...could it be why MU was able to put in a reversal so easily today?<g>

Co:MU - MICRON TECHNOLOGY,$/share(US) Exchange:NYSE
MACRO*WORLD(tm) 7-DAY OUTLOOK 5/19/98
------------------------------------------------------------
Latest Data:
5/19/98 closed at $26.50, down 0.50. This is
within the -0.89 average daily change.

------------------------------------------------------------
7-day Alert:
-other factors don't warrant a rating-
If you use Stops, for a Long position use $24.50,
for a Short use $28.50.
------------------------------------------------------------
Forecast Summary:
There is a 70% chance of being Higher in 7 days.
Most likely 5/26/98 level is $27.63, a 4.2%
increase vs yesterday's $26.50.

--------------------------------------------------
| 70% confidence range|
| Forecast Closing --------------------|
| Days $/share Change High Low |
|------------------------------------------------|
| 05/20/98 26.86 0.36 27.53 26.19 |
| 05/21/98 26.65 -0.21 27.37 25.93 |
| 05/22/98 26.75 0.10 27.53 25.97 |
| 05/23/98 Sat |
| 05/24/98 Sun |
| 05/25/98 Memorial |
| 05/26/98 27.63 0.88 28.63 26.63 |
--------------------------------------------------

Co:MU - MICRON TECHNOLOGY,$/share(US) Exchange:NYSE
MACRO*WORLD(tm) 5-WEEK OUTLOOK 5/19/98
------------------------------------------------------------
Latest Week:
5/15/98 averaged $29.08, down 2.57. This is
larger than the -1.41 average weekly change.
The weekly model indicates that this is an
exceptionally Low $/share!
------------------------------------------------------------
5-week Alert:
-probability too low, no action recommended-
If you use Stops, for a Long position use $24.50,
for a Short use $28.50.
------------------------------------------------------------
Forecast Summary:
There is a 60% chance of being Higher in 5 weeks.
Most likely 6/19/98 level is $26.72, a 0.8%
increase vs latest $26.50/share.

--------------------------------------------------
| 70% confidence range|
| Forecast Average --------------------|
| Week of $/share Change High Low |
|------------------------------------------------|
| 05/22/98 26.76 -2.32 28.03 25.49 |
| 05/29/98 26.72 -0.04 28.07 25.37 |
| 06/05/98 27.13 0.41 28.56 25.70 |
| 06/12/98 27.19 0.06 28.70 25.68 |
| 06/19/98 26.72 -0.47 28.32 25.12 |
--------------------------------------------------

However, the Daily model's outlook is Up.
Co:MU - MICRON TECHNOLOGY,$/share(US) Exchange:NYSE
MACRO*WORLD(tm) 4-MONTH OUTLOOK 5/18/98
------------------------------------------------------------
Latest Month:
Apr'98 averaged $29.67, down 0.50. This is
within the -3.72 average monthly change.
The monthly model indicates that this is an
exceptionally Low $/share!
------------------------------------------------------------
4-month Alert:
-other factors don't warrant a rating-
If you use Stops, for a Long position use $25.00,
for a Short use $29.00.
------------------------------------------------------------
Forecast Summary:
There is a 75% chance of being Higher in 4 months.
Most likely Aug'98 level is $34.91, a 29.3%
increase vs latest $27.00/share.

--------------------------------------------------
| 70% confidence range|
| Forecast Average --------------------|
| Months $/share Change High Low |
|------------------------------------------------|
| May'98 29.16 -0.51 30.69 27.63 |
| Jun'98 32.18 3.02 34.91 29.45 |
| Jul'98 33.56 1.38 37.49 29.63 |
| Aug'98 34.91 1.35 40.04 29.78 |
--------------------------------------------------

However, the Weekly model's outlook is Up.

The above report is based on mathematical calculations and, as such, no investment decision should be based solely on its conclusions.