To: TREND1 who wrote (33766 ) 5/20/1998 9:19:00 PM From: DavidG Respond to of 53903
Larry, Here is something for the bulls and bears to think about...could it be why MU was able to put in a reversal so easily today?<g> Co:MU - MICRON TECHNOLOGY,$/share(US) Exchange:NYSE MACRO*WORLD(tm) 7-DAY OUTLOOK 5/19/98 ------------------------------------------------------------ Latest Data: 5/19/98 closed at $26.50, down 0.50. This is within the -0.89 average daily change. ------------------------------------------------------------ 7-day Alert: -other factors don't warrant a rating- If you use Stops, for a Long position use $24.50, for a Short use $28.50. ------------------------------------------------------------ Forecast Summary: There is a 70% chance of being Higher in 7 days. Most likely 5/26/98 level is $27.63, a 4.2% increase vs yesterday's $26.50. -------------------------------------------------- | 70% confidence range| | Forecast Closing --------------------| | Days $/share Change High Low | |------------------------------------------------| | 05/20/98 26.86 0.36 27.53 26.19 | | 05/21/98 26.65 -0.21 27.37 25.93 | | 05/22/98 26.75 0.10 27.53 25.97 | | 05/23/98 Sat | | 05/24/98 Sun | | 05/25/98 Memorial | | 05/26/98 27.63 0.88 28.63 26.63 | -------------------------------------------------- Co:MU - MICRON TECHNOLOGY,$/share(US) Exchange:NYSE MACRO*WORLD(tm) 5-WEEK OUTLOOK 5/19/98 ------------------------------------------------------------ Latest Week: 5/15/98 averaged $29.08, down 2.57. This is larger than the -1.41 average weekly change. The weekly model indicates that this is an exceptionally Low $/share! ------------------------------------------------------------ 5-week Alert: -probability too low, no action recommended- If you use Stops, for a Long position use $24.50, for a Short use $28.50. ------------------------------------------------------------ Forecast Summary: There is a 60% chance of being Higher in 5 weeks. Most likely 6/19/98 level is $26.72, a 0.8% increase vs latest $26.50/share. -------------------------------------------------- | 70% confidence range| | Forecast Average --------------------| | Week of $/share Change High Low | |------------------------------------------------| | 05/22/98 26.76 -2.32 28.03 25.49 | | 05/29/98 26.72 -0.04 28.07 25.37 | | 06/05/98 27.13 0.41 28.56 25.70 | | 06/12/98 27.19 0.06 28.70 25.68 | | 06/19/98 26.72 -0.47 28.32 25.12 | -------------------------------------------------- However, the Daily model's outlook is Up. Co:MU - MICRON TECHNOLOGY,$/share(US) Exchange:NYSE MACRO*WORLD(tm) 4-MONTH OUTLOOK 5/18/98 ------------------------------------------------------------ Latest Month: Apr'98 averaged $29.67, down 0.50. This is within the -3.72 average monthly change. The monthly model indicates that this is an exceptionally Low $/share! ------------------------------------------------------------ 4-month Alert: -other factors don't warrant a rating- If you use Stops, for a Long position use $25.00, for a Short use $29.00. ------------------------------------------------------------ Forecast Summary: There is a 75% chance of being Higher in 4 months. Most likely Aug'98 level is $34.91, a 29.3% increase vs latest $27.00/share. -------------------------------------------------- | 70% confidence range| | Forecast Average --------------------| | Months $/share Change High Low | |------------------------------------------------| | May'98 29.16 -0.51 30.69 27.63 | | Jun'98 32.18 3.02 34.91 29.45 | | Jul'98 33.56 1.38 37.49 29.63 | | Aug'98 34.91 1.35 40.04 29.78 | -------------------------------------------------- However, the Weekly model's outlook is Up. The above report is based on mathematical calculations and, as such, no investment decision should be based solely on its conclusions.