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To: marc chatman who wrote (22596)5/21/1998 8:39:00 AM
From: JZGalt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
marc, for cyclical companies, you typically want to buy them when they are trading at high trailing p/e and sell them when they trade at low trailing p/e's once the yr/yr growth fades. No sign of that growth fading in this sector _yet_, but that concern is one thing that is keeping a lid on the prices.

If you are a long term investor you look for chances _exactly_ like this. Buy great companies when they are misperceived and undervalued in relation to their future growth.

IMO, historical p/e's aren't worth diddly. You need to look forward. Try marketplayer.com to get charts which show 12 month forward p/e's.

This is how I use forward p/e's:

geocities.com



To: marc chatman who wrote (22596)5/21/1998 10:08:00 AM
From: RGinPG  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 95453
 
Marc, I've been saying this prayer over and over for the last 12 hours or so: "Lord, just give me one more up cycle, and I promise I will never abuse my margin account again." Hope this helps.