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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: HB who wrote (28353)5/21/1998 1:55:00 PM
From: Michael Burry  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Re: names, SFAM, MWY

First off, there's only one MB or Michael B.
here. Just call me Burry if I become a regular.

MWY came to my attention via the spin-off,
and when it broke through its 16.5 support,
I thought, "I wonder how low it'd go?" I try
to wait for the absolute bottom - where when
I look 3 years out the price looks just plain
stupidfunnyridiculous. I just bought UST
on those grounds, and now MWY. This
thread came to my attention when I text searched
SI for MWY and MB was the most prolific
poster. You may be able to get MWY at 12
again. In fact, I would say it is likely, on
both technical and weak shareholder grounds.

Re: SFAM. That and SMOD were my two
favorite stocks when I got onto SI in early
96. Especially SFAM had a high quality
thread of contrarian, sound-minded thinkers
during that summer sell-off. Mr. Sam
made us all a lot of money. But it seems to
me the end-game for a SFAM is M&A,
since they will never ooze the cash flow
required for me to hold it long term. If they
don't attain the proper economies of scale
before an industry leader like AMAT catches
up, then SFAM is splat on its windshield.
IMO, this applies to most capital- and tech-
intensive small caps competing in vicious
commodity-like businesses.

That said, even splattable small caps can
become valuable, and if they do, an acquisition becomes more likely.

I'm looking for SFAM to get down below book.
That'd be stupidfunnyridiculous for me. For
now it's on my watchlist.

Good Investing,
Mike



To: HB who wrote (28353)5/21/1998 11:59:00 PM
From: don ryndak  Respond to of 132070
 
HB
I have been off trying to figure out several idea's that Michael Burke had been kind enough to point out to me regarding discounted closed end funds., when whoa.. MWY shows p on my screen as oooo or not opening. Punished pretty severely for missing its number. I wasn't smart enough to bail when they had the pre announcement regarding the new game release. I still liked the basics of the company and it seems to be reinforced by its peers although it does not seem to share the same favorable stock price. Maybe part of that is partially based on the number of analysts that follow the stock. Everything that I can read about the company seems to indicate that the business plan is there, just a matter of execution. It is the execution of the business plan that I am putting my faith in. If there is anything that a Chicago company understands, its execution of its business plan or else.<g> Moving forward, summer is coming more kids being babysitted by the mall, maybe more quarters in the till? If this new game is everything that it is supposed to be, I presume in the game industry it should have some immediate impact on the bottom line, we'll see. Anyway, bought in for some more at 12 and change. The good news is that I am up for the day.
don ryndak



To: HB who wrote (28353)5/22/1998 11:22:00 AM
From: Knighty Tin  Respond to of 132070
 
Howard, I own MWY straight, a full position after that last third. I also own, in my income account and for my partners, a long MWY/Short Erts paired trade. I only have two thirds of that one, and my partners have been on the phone. <G> That has been the worst paired trade I've done in a long time. So far. The only good thing about it is that it is one cog in the machine. And I still have hopes that will work out.

MB