To: Duane L. Olson who wrote (12579 ) 5/22/1998 9:22:00 PM From: DavidG Respond to of 25814
Duane, Here is a good reason why we wouldn't want LSI to drop below 20: Co:LSI - LSI LOGIC,$/share(US) Exchange:NYSE MACRO*WORLD(tm) 7-DAY OUTLOOK 5/22/98 ------------------------------------------------------------ Latest Data: 5/22/98 closed at $21.69, down 0.37. This is within the -0.56 average daily change. ------------------------------------------------------------ 7-day Alert: -probability too low, no action recommended- If you use Stops, for a Long position use $20.06, for a Short use $23.31. ------------------------------------------------------------ Forecast Summary: There is a 65% chance of being Higher in 7 days. Most likely 5/29/98 level is $22.00, a 1.4% increase vs yesterday's $21.69. -------------------------------------------------- | 70% confidence range| | Forecast Closing --------------------| | Days $/share Change High Low | |------------------------------------------------| | 05/23/98 Sat | | 05/24/98 Sun | | 05/25/98 Memorial | | 05/26/98 21.57 -0.12 22.15 20.99 | | 05/27/98 21.96 0.39 22.57 21.35 | | 05/28/98 21.87 -0.09 22.51 21.23 | | 05/29/98 22.03 0.16 22.70 21.36 | -------------------------------------------------- Co:LSI - LSI LOGIC,$/share(US) Exchange:NYSE MACRO*WORLD(tm) 5-WEEK OUTLOOK 5/22/98 ------------------------------------------------------------ Latest Week: 5/22/98 averaged $22.63, down 1.43. This is larger than the -1.07 average weekly change. ------------------------------------------------------------ 5-week Alert: -probability too low, no action recommended- If you use Stops, for a Long position use $20.06, for a Short use $23.31. ------------------------------------------------------------ Forecast Summary: There is a 65% chance of being Higher in 5 weeks. Most likely 6/26/98 level is $22.90, a 5.6% increase vs latest $21.69/share. -------------------------------------------------- | 70% confidence range| | Forecast Average --------------------| | Week of $/share Change High Low | |------------------------------------------------| | 05/29/98 21.54 -1.09 22.67 20.41 | | 06/05/98 21.50 -0.04 22.69 20.31 | | 06/12/98 22.22 0.72 23.46 20.98 | | 06/19/98 22.55 0.33 23.85 21.25 | | 06/26/98 22.90 0.35 24.26 21.54 | -------------------------------------------------- However, the Daily model's outlook is Up. Co:LSI - LSI LOGIC,$/share(US) Exchange:NYSE MACRO*WORLD(tm) 4-MONTH OUTLOOK 5/21/98 ------------------------------------------------------------ Latest Month: Apr'98 averaged $26.41, down 1.43. This is within the -2.47 average monthly change. ------------------------------------------------------------ 4-month Alert: -probability too low, no action recommended- If you use Stops, for a Long position use $20.38, for a Short use $23.69. ------------------------------------------------------------ Forecast Summary: There is a 65% chance of being Lower in 4 months. Most likely Aug'98 level is $20.62, a 6.5% decrease vs latest $22.06/share. -------------------------------------------------- | 70% confidence range| | Forecast Average --------------------| | Months $/share Change High Low | |------------------------------------------------| | May'98 24.97 -1.44 26.28 23.66 | | Jun'98 22.79 -2.18 24.74 20.84 | | Jul'98 22.39 -0.40 24.99 19.79 | | Aug'98 20.62 -1.77 23.86 17.38 | -------------------------------------------------- However, the Weekly model's outlook is Up. The above report is based on mathematical calculations and, as such, no investment decision should be based solely on its conclusions.