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Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: robert marshall who wrote (15994)5/22/1998 2:28:00 AM
From: Pat Hughes  Respond to of 45548
 
Bought 1000 shares of coms at 55.00. Bought another lot at 36.00.
A year ago I bought my first 500 shares of ASND at around 55. Well I kept buying, all the way down to 22 3/8. Yes 22 3/8.
Talk about a plunging knife!
Any way I still hold both coms and asnd. I will add to coms if it gets down to the low 20's. But I do believe they are still a year away from recovery!

Pat Hughes



To: robert marshall who wrote (15994)5/22/1998 2:47:00 AM
From: joe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 45548
 
Jeez, I was out sick today (5/21), and I come back to COMS
down 1 1/2??#@!$%

Just as I'm feeling better I get zapped with this - DAMN!!

Well, trying to think rationally here some of my thoughts...


1) I agree mostly with Mang, that this move looks more
market related than anything else:

- techs are suddently turning tail, people see
DELL get a good earnings report and
then drop ~$10. ???
- MSFT and INTC dropping; these are the supposed
tech market leaders!! Any tech stock is suspect
at this point to be beat down - good earnings or
not. The drop we've seen in just these two stocks
alone can be called a market correction considering
their weighting on the Nasdaq index.
- MM's have been calling a market correction for a while
now, so eventually it'll happen to some degree, because
the Street is self-fullfilling(sp?). Then again
the market is pretty schzoid as of late, so who knows
what's next with the market.
- Fed comes out with the Minutes of the last FOMC meeting
and it shows an 11-1 vote in favor of raising interest
rates.
- Indonesia has a change in leadership (yet nobody really
knows who the leader is yet?)
- Greenspan says this morning that Asia problems haven't
hit us yet - that there's a delayed reaction from the
time markets & currencies drop to the time US economy
gets hit. In other words, he believes there's going
to be a good slowdown (yet he says beware of inflation...)

With all this hitting us now, who would want to buy anything,
much less COMS??

I think, since there's so much uncertainty because of
above, that most traders and
the market are closing up/protecting their positions, and
waiting until after the 3-day weekend, to see
what the story is. World events seem to be too risky -
maybe it's time to take a break...


2) The good news (if any - trying to stay positive)

- low volume going down. I agree with blankmind. This
doesn't seem like a selloff. IMO, we would have
seen lots more volume.
- the COMS chart looks like the charts of most of the big
tech stocks and the Nasdaq index - so it's not
COMS specific.
- if we go down to 20-25, there seems like there will
be bargain hunters, from some of the responses of
the thread.
- as long as COMS keeps dropping on low volume, the
rebound will be pretty fast.
- we haven't heard any COMS specific bad news except
for the CFO talking with DMG (if you want to call that
bad news)
- earnings revisions makes all the ANALysts look as ignorant
as we are. They have no clue about revenues and earnings,
just like we don't.

3) It seems to me, that the biggest problem is that Eric B.
is not giving anybody any guidance. I would think that
most MMs are tired of that, and just assume the worst
from COMS.

4) With this scenario, IMO, shorts have the edge. If buying
is at least temporarily postponed, shorts will just keep
edging the stock down more and more. Hopefully, the low
volume will eventually work against them.

5) ONE HOPE FILLING IDEA - Probably, this Fall, the network
sector is going to see merger mania. If COMS is at
it's present price, it will be very 'juicy'. Even if
COMS gets back into it's former glory, it will still
be considered a prime candidate for merger. REMEMBER,
COMS is NOT JUST a Modem company, and all good companies
know this.

Still a die-hard long, because I think this company has
a lot of long-term value.

joe