SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Fiondella who wrote (22233)5/22/1998 1:44:00 PM
From: Bob Howarth  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42771
 
There is no gimmick possible to hide a product transition. If
customers hold back for Netware 5, but the orders are in for the 4'th quarter, then things will be fine (unless you are day trading).

I listened to call (so long!!!!) and noticed that most analysts don't
sound very enthusiatic about NOVL. I was surprised that NOVL could
not supply more precise numbers on exactly what they are selling, as
reflected in the 'We don't know' answers to some of the questions.

I guess that if Justice Department stays on track with MSFT (the 200+ days requested by MSFT just happen to allow NT5 release to happen
first), Netware 5 gets released, CEO/CIO perception problem gets fixed
for major account sales, and NDS really does spawn all kinds of wondeful tools, then NOVL will emerge as a great stock. Sure is a lot
to do!!!!

Good luck to fellow longs.



To: Paul Fiondella who wrote (22233)5/22/1998 2:56:00 PM
From: Don Earl  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42771
 
Hi Paul,

If memory serves me correctly from a call to IR, deferred revenues are from service contracts where there is a payment up front, but they don't recognize the income until the service is rendered. If I'm reading it right an increase in deferred revenue would be a plus for forward looking business.

All things considered, it was a lot better showing than I expected. Slipping NW5 until August will probably make NOVL dead money this Q. If it weren't for the law suit and a possible restatement of earnings, I'd say things look better than they have for quite awhile. I won't touch it until the accounting questions are cleared up but I do think the longs are entitled to feel a little cheerful over the results.

Regards,

Don