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To: Bucky Katt who wrote (12059)5/22/1998 8:11:00 PM
From: long-gone  Respond to of 116830
 
Gleaned this from market central.
Technically, the market is exhibiting poor internal dynamics as the Net
Advances vs. Net Declines has seriously weakened, New Highs vs. New Lows
are exhibiting contracting strength and technical breakdowns in a number of
key leading industry groups has added to our concern. On top of this, earnings
growth is slowing and the outlook for the rest of this year is neutral at best.
Interest rates are behaving to date as is inflation, but with a thirty year low
unemployment rate at 4.3% and an aging economic expansion, the stage is
set for at least a minor increase in inflation and interest rates. Technically,
interest rates are still poised to go higher, the only question is how much
higher and that will depend on the increase in inflationary expectations going
forward.

We expect the inflation rate to rise modestly in the second half of 1998 as
wage price pressures, capacity constraints and commodities price strength
combine. This will lead to modest increases in interest rates soon.
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