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Technology Stocks : Year 2000 (Y2K) Embedded Systems & Infrastructure Problem -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Mansfield who wrote (411)5/24/1998 12:07:00 PM
From: John Mansfield  Respond to of 618
 
[NAVY]

'I"ve been predicting one of the Y2K markers will be when our Navy ships
start tying up and anchoring. If they are not fully Y2K compatible, it
would be both suicidal and irresponsible to risk using them. I believe
every ship will have to go through major repairs and then test in
extensive sea trials just as if it were brand new. The entire fleet will
have to be thoroughly shaken down and all systems will have to be fully
tested before it will be safe to put any vessel or any group of vessels in
sensitive circumstancesor even just to be at sea. And all of this work has
to be completed before Y2K can create unpredictabilities. Think about how
the Aegis system malfunctioned in electronically normal times and shot
down the Iranian airliner. What does Y2K do to those systems and how can
the electronically integrated task forces function reliably and
predictably? How does anyone know what is good data and if the system will
perform as designed? Even if it turns out system performance is not
degraded by Y2K, how can that be known and trusted without exhaustive
testing at individual system level, vessel level, task force, fleet, and
all the way to the Pentagon? All of the system integration testing has to
be accomplished in eighteen months, or is it less?

Allen Comstock

-------------Begin Forwarded Material------------------

Federal Computer Week
MAY 18, 1998

Intercepts

BY BOB BREWIN (antenna@fcw.com)

IT-21 sticker shock. The estimated cost of upgrading a Navy Carrier Battle
Group and Amphibious Ready Group has jumped from roughly $50 million to
between $80 million and $100 million - and that covers only the major
ships, according to Monica Shephard, Atlantic Fleet N6. Shepherd said the
Navy faces "tough" decisions on how to allocate its IT funding and
resources as "all the easy decisions are gone.''

My Pentagon antenna site also has picked up strong signals that Rear Adm.
John Gauss, commander of the Navy's Space and Naval Warfare Command, may
not end up with all the Navy IT funding. There's a good chance that the
money will still be controlled by the bases and other systems commands.

-->snip<--

Y2K SWAT teams. The Marine Corps "has no reasonable expectations'' that it
will have fixed all Year 2000 date code problems in all its computer
systems by Jan. 1, 2000, according to Col. Kevin McHale, the Year 2000
honcho at Marine Corps headquarters. McHale said the Marines plan to have
Year 2000 SWAT teams standing by at major installations on Jan. 1, 2000.
The Marines plan to dispatch these teams rather than provide phone support
as the service also has concerns about the effect of Year 2000 problems on
the phone network.

Almost Y2K-ready. The Navy Year 2000 Project Office thought it had
discovered one Navy ship with no Year 2000 problems - the four-masted
sailing ship USS Constitution. But, according to Cmdr. Jim Gillcrist, the
Navy discovered that "Old Ironsides'' sports a Global Positioning System
receiver, "which has its own date problems."
____

Subject:
The Navy is Toast
Date:
Sat, 23 May 1998 23:29:01 -0700
From:
comstock@wild-life.com (Allen Comstock)
Organization:
Comstock Graphics (Montana)
Newsgroups:
comp.software.year-2000



To: John Mansfield who wrote (411)5/24/1998 12:09:00 PM
From: John Mansfield  Respond to of 618
 
[CLINTON]

'Bob Hermann <hermannrg@nospamerols.com> wrote in article
<01bd8682$c67579a0$52a2accf@oemcomputer>...

> I think most of this is by design. As many readers of this ng know,
about
> a week ago the CIA gave an interview to the Reuters News Agency in which
> they made a warning about massive worldwide disruption due to the year
2000
> problem. I suspect that they have been giving even more realistic--and
> chilling--reports to the administration for months. Clinton has to know
> that the s**t is really gonna hit the fan in 2000.
But to name that as
the
> greatest threat to our infrastructure would underline the fact that the
> present administration has done nothing substantive for 5 years to
prevent
> the problem. It would take a rare politician--Churchill, perhaps?--to
step
> up to the plate on this one.

A very plausible explanation and I cannot offer any alternative that has
any plausibility.

I doubt however that he will be able to continue this dance much longer.

It might be worse than you say. The biomedical and cyber terrorism threats
might be super emphasized as deliberate distractions.

They can be understood by the general population as plausible threats, as
opposed to Y2k which cannot be satisfactorily communicated.

A possible deception may be to fabricate all these reasons for partial
mobilization to combat individual threats and then when the Y2K threat
becomes evident, say "Gollee, it's a good thing we mobilized, because we
needed to do that for this newly-perceived Y2K threat.

He may be deliberately softening us up for some bad news. He has already
said that we are threatened by cyber terrorism, possible biomedical attack,
asian financial crisis etc. What's then just one more threat -- Y2K. He
can say, "Well I told you that we were threatened, there's just this one
more threat."

Harlan

____

Subject:
Re: - Bill Clinton still "doesn't [Y2K] get it" -- Speech at Annapolis Graduation
Ceremony
Date:
23 May 1998 16:11:07 EDT
From:
"Harlan Smith" <hwsmith.nowhere@cris.com>
Organization:
Paperless
Newsgroups:
comp.software.year-2000
References:
1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5



To: John Mansfield who wrote (411)5/24/1998 12:30:00 PM
From: John Mansfield  Respond to of 618
 
[CPI] Chemical Process Industry

Article of July 1997

_______

'Left unchecked, the Year 2000 problem -- called Y2K,
for short -- could be catastrophic for the chemical process
industries (CPI). The date glitch could cause innumerable shutdowns and horrific
accidents. Indeed, a manufacturer's process-control system could be stymied by "00" and shut down altogether on New
Year's Eve.

....

Although many firms are well on the way towards Y2K compliance for their applications and mainframes, process control
is another matter. At one large CPI company ($5 billion in sales), says the IT manager, "A lot the DCSs, PLCs, lab
instruments and so on may have problems." At his firm, as well as at Shell, the Y2K team is working with plant managers
to inventory equipment with embedded chips. "We have to see what we have, and address the vendors for each," says
Quiggins.

"We simply don't know how big this problem is yet," says de Jager, pointing out that embedded chips have only surfaced
as a problem in the past six months to a year. A large number of instruments don't care about the date at all, of course;
but for those that do, "We're nearly having to go in and test each and every one," says another IT manager for a large
CPI multinational.

che.com