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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Follies who wrote (19045)5/25/1998 6:37:00 PM
From: William H Huebl  Respond to of 94695
 
Dale,

Surely the market has discounted all this 6 months out???

Bill



To: Follies who wrote (19045)5/26/1998 2:05:00 AM
From: James F. Hopkins  Respond to of 94695
 
Dale; There is also something else we can't chart and the market
don't see. ( hidden cash ) Black market cash, and I don't just
mean drug money. I've had some experience with it in third world
countries , and there is no way to say just how much is getting
stashed at this time. As things go belly up in ASIA it's no
accident. There are all kinds of crooks and when scams hit their
peaks they filter off cash to stash & produce phony bills , and they don't worry about making interest, they just want to have the cash were it can't be found.
I'll bet Grand Cayman is jumping right now with new accounts.
Most of the reason I could get up to double the exchange rate
in third world countries ( if I had hard dollars ) was so that
they could fly that money to some secret account. The level
of corruption going on would stagger the imagination of most
Americans. Believe me a lot of Asia money went into Dollars
and those Dollars went into hiding..and they may not come out
of hiding any time soon. Also most Japanese don't trust their banks
any more and have cash stuffed into safety account boxes and under the
mattress it's a mess. I have no idea of how to calculate it.
( I do know there is a huge black market in American Dollars,
and that's one reason the Dollar is so high )
Jim