IBD article. Deutsche Telekom Attacks Internet Telephony Market
Date: 5/27/98 Author: Reinhardt Krause
In telecommunications, the best defense might be a strong offense. That's the game plan at Deutsche Telekom AG, which has jumped into Internet telephony ahead of other carriers.
Voice calls that travel over the Internet bypass most older, circuit-switched networks operated by traditional phone carriers. If Internet telephony takes off as projected, it could take business from carriers like Deutsche Telekom on their home turf, say analysts. The flip side is that Deutsche Telekom can offer long-distance service for the first time - via the Internet -from the U.S. and elsewhere.
In April, Deutsche Telekom began a pilot program selling Internet telephony services in the U.S. It's the first global carrier to do so. Earlier, it bought a 20% stake in VocalTec Communications Ltd. The Israeli company is one of the largest makers of Internet telephony gear.
''Deutsche Telekom has jumped in with both feet, while most of the other carriers are tiptoeing in,'' said Erich Almasy, an analyst with New York consulting firm Mercer Management Consulting Inc.
The strategy for Deutsche Telekom, Europe's largest telecom company, is twofold, analysts say.
''In their minds, maybe they'll capture some of the Internet telephony minutes instead of upstart carriers,'' said David Goodtree, an analyst at Forrester Research Inc. in Cambridge, Mass. ''At the same time, they'll be able to lower their own cost of doing business.''
Deutsche Telekom can lower costs by offering Internet telephony, which as yet hasn't been imposed with the fees that governments attach to conventional telephone service.
Per-minute pricing for international calls over the Internet is typically 45% to 60% less than the long-distance rates charged by traditional carriers, though that price differential is expected to shrink gradually.
''We're in a learning phase,'' said James Lennox, a senior Internet project manager for the company. ''Prices are coming down all over. We see that. We believe the international market will be additive business for Deutsche Telekom.''
With Europe's telecommunications market becoming deregulated, Deutsche Telekom is facing more competition at home. Privatized in '96, the phone company is still 60% government- controlled. Its sales rose 7% in '97 to 67.6 billion German marks, or about $38.2 billion U.S.
The fact that older public switched telephone networks, or PSTNs, soon may be displaced by emerging Internet-based networks is putting pressure on Deutsche Telekom and other traditional long-distance carriers.
''The major carriers need to reposition PSTN to compete against the potential threat of Internet-based voice in the international market,'' said Chris Lewis, a London-based analyst with market researcher Yankee Group.
Internet telephone upstarts include IDT Corp. of Hackensack, N.J., Bermuda-based RSL Communications Ltd. and USA Global Link Inc. of Fairfield, Iowa.
Deutsche Telekom and AT&T Corp. were among the first big carriers to take Internet telephony seriously.
As recently as a year ago, transmission delays in phone calls over the Net resulted in such poor quality that the technology was considered a plaything of computer buffs.
Quality, though, has improved, and Internet telephony is fast becoming mainstream. Mercer expects the business market alone for Internet overseas calls will grow to $2 billion in '00 from $42 million in '97. The Net will gobble up almost one-quarter of all international calls made by businesses in '00, from 0.5% last year, Mercer says.
In August, Deutsche Telekom spent $48 million for its stake in VocalTec. It also agreed to buy $30 million in Internet telephony products from VocalTec.
The products include gateways, which bridge the technical differences between older PSTN systems and new Internet- based networks. Calls that originate on regular phones are switched over to Internet networks by gateways.
Deutsche Telekom began its first commercial Internet telephony trial in the U.K. last year. It also gained experience in an earlier project involving 1,000 customers in Japan, Germany, the U.S. and Canada.
Those moves were a wake-up call for other carriers, says Tom Evslin, chief executive of Internet telephony start-up ITXC Corp.
''The traditional telcos were hardly moving at all, but they got frightened when Deutsche Telekom announced its investment in VocalTec and made other moves,'' said Evslin. ''They didn't trust Deutsche Telekom to install all those gateways and software just in Germany, so that's galvanized them in some respects.''
North Brunswick, N.J.-based ITXC provides services that route calls between existing PSTNs and the Internet's backbone. Its investors include AT&T and VocalTec. Deutsche Telekom isn't saying what, if any, relationship it will have with ITXC, Lennox says.
Much of the fanfare surrounding Internet telephony involves calls that originate on personal computers. Deutsche Telekom's ''T-NetCall'' project, however, lets users make international phone-to-phone calls - without PCs.
''Of course, we also can offer PC-to-phone telephony,'' said Lennox. ''We'll do as we see fit by watching the pilot project.''
Companies can make Internet calls by using a touch-tone phone and entering a special 12-digit access number in addition to the number being called.
Deutsche Telekom says it's possible to reach a limited number of cities in 20 countries. Prices range from 19 cents a minute for calls to Britain to 99 cents a minute for calls to China. That represents at least 50% savings over normal phone rates.
Still, it's early in the game pitting highly regulated PSTNs vs. Internet upstarts, analysts note.
In the U.S., the Federal Communications Commission has indicated that phone-to-phone calls over the Internet may be regulated like regular calls, including fees.
In addition, international agreements forged through the World Trade Organization are lowering the fees carriers pay to transmit normal cross-border calls.
Lennox says that businesses will need to assess the trade-offs in price and quality of Internet-based calls with regular voice services.
''It's still not clear what proportion of PSTN traffic will move to the Internet backbone,'' said Yankee Group's Lewis. Deutsche Telekom, he adds, could merely be hedging its bets.
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