To: Mark who wrote (1471 ) 5/27/1998 2:26:00 AM From: MileHigh Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2020
Mar 18, 1998 (2:57 PM ET) - The Motley Fool Evening News Manufacturer of circuit board assemblies Jabil Circuit (Nasdaq:JBIL - news) slumped $4 11/16 to $34 25/32 after saying that weakened demand and transitions by its customers to new products will cause slower sales and lower operating income over the next two quarters. However, the company's president told CNBC that the outlook will improve later in the year, possibly leading to 30% growth in EPS for the year. Meanwhile, fiscal Q2 EPS came in at $0.52, up 79% from a year ago and $0.01 ahead of estimates. The company's shares have plummeted 36% from a closing price of $53 13/16 on Feb. 26 and now trade at 18.4 times trailing earnings and 13 times 1999 estimates of $2.65 per share. Although the segment does not trade at market multiples, Jabil's present valuation looks compelling. The company has grown EPS at a compound rate of 250% over the last three years, generating a whopping 34% return on invested capital in the process. Today, investors should weigh the $70 billion industry's projected growth rate of 25% against the risk associated with Jabil's concentrated customer base of rapidly growing companies that are prone to blow-ups -- Jabil's top five customers account for 70% of revenues. First off, thanks for the insightful post, but JBIL (now NYSE JBL) did warn, that is the reason for the severe drop. Notice the comments in bold. I am not familiar with SCI and will need to research SMOD growth rates in sales and earnings. I would like to be able to prove you wrong <g> but will research before I post my findings. So to use JBL as an example of a company NOT experiencing slower sales and earnings growth is wrong (according to their CEO). Also, after JBL corrected 36% still traded at 18 times ttm earnings. Not trying to argue, but this simply proves the point further, IMHO. Again, as I posted before, one must ask themselves if SMOD'd recent announcement is a "one time" problem tied to the glut in DRAM and softness in PC market or if it is the beginning of a recurring problem driven by ineffective management and corporate strategy and product positioning. I strongly believe that their problems are only a symptom of the current DRAM and PC market, and when the fundamentals of this sector turns, SMOD should triple from here!! Thanks again for the post and I welcome all comments! MileHigh