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To: Richard Mazzarella who wrote (12197)5/26/1998 8:13:00 PM
From: bobby beara  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116834
 
RM, you remain my greatest contrary indicator, this time I won't let you fool me, I'm still smarting on mine.

On the intermediate chart the last time we broke out of the b bands downside was January 12th.

On the long term chart we are sitting right on the mid support line.

We may get the crash up I'm looking for yet.

bobby b



To: Richard Mazzarella who wrote (12197)5/26/1998 8:41:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116834
 
Death of gold mining? may be not..

FEATURE-S.Africa's Deepmine eyes ultra-deep mining frontier
02:06 a.m. May 26, 1998 Eastern
By Darren Schuettler

JOHANNESBURG, May 26 (Reuters) - Miners in spacesuits. Robots digging
round the clock. Colonies of men living and working for days under five
km (three miles) of solid rock.

These are a few of the ideas floating around South Africa's gold
industry as it sets out to explore a 21st century frontier --
ultra-deep mining.

South Africa has the deepest mines in the world, but many shallower
areas are mined out and the industry is probing previously unthinkable
depths of up to five km.

The challenge has drawn mine executives, union leaders, government
officials and scientists into a massive research project called
Deepmine.

''We'll be looking at everything from rock engineering to things that
are real science fiction,'' Deepmine chairman Keith Spencer told Reuters
in a recent interview.

The prize for going deeper than ever before is a vast reserve of gold at
least equal to what has been mined already. It would extend the life of
South Africa's venerable mines well into the next century and Deepmine's
expertise could be exported overseas.

But getting to five km and working there presents an enormous challenge.
Deepmine has just approved several projects to tackle issues like shaft
design, geology, financing, health and safety.

The temperature at five km is a blistering 70 degrees Celsius (158
Fahrenheit), while the pressure could pose other health problems for
miners.

ROBOTS? UNDERGROUND LIVING QUARTERS?

Most mines use huge refrigeration units to pump cool air into tunnels as
deep as 3.7 km (2.3 miles). But cooling costs at five km may be too
high, prompting some experts to contemplate outfitting miners in
climate-controlled suits.

Others suggest using robots operated by remote control from the surface,
able to mine 24-hours a day.

Some futuristic thinkers have even proposed underground living quarters
where miners could work and live for several days, much like a oil rig
at sea.

''We'll look at everything, but probably nine of out every 10 science
fiction ideas we'll throw away,'' said Spencer, who is also technology
chief at Gold Fields Ltd.

Deep level mining is not new in South Africa.

Anglogold Ltd, Gold Fields and Durban Roodepoort -- the three gold
companies in Deepmine -- currently operate mines at more than three km
(1.8 miles). Anglogold's Western Deep Levels is the world's deepest mine
at 3,777 metres (12,300 feet).

Anglogold chief executive Bobby Godsell kicked off the ultra-deep drive
two years ago when he challenged his engineers to find a way to mine at
five km. Godsell had his eye on a vast, lucrative gold reef called
Western Ultra Deep Levels (WUDLS).

''I was the project manager at Western Deep south wondering how the heck
we were going to get to four kilometres and here's my boss telling me
we're on our way to five kilometres. It came as a bit of a surprise,''
said Dave Diering, a deep mine expert at Anglogold who recently won an
award for his work at a mining conference in Canada.

Anglogold has spent 35 million rand ($6.9 million) on a 3-D surface
seismic survey of WUDLS and plans a 200 million rand ($39.6 million)
drilling program. The area could hold up to 50 million ounces of gold.

ULTRA-DEEP MEANS FEWER WORKERS

The National Union of Mineworkers (NUM), fearing job losses due to
technology, is keeping a wary eye on the Deepmine project.

Slumping gold prices have forced painful restructurings at the country's
once-mighty gold firms, including thousands of retrenchments. Some
experts believe today's labour-intensive operations would be too costly
at ultra depths.

''We are entering this whole exercise very cautiously,'' said NUM
spokesman Devan Pillay. ''It has not been shown yet that ultra-deep
mining can be done with machines only.''

While Deepmine's research may lead to new high-tech jobs for South
Africa, the reality is ultra-deep mining will need fewer workers.

''We cannot carry on with shafts that have 6,000 people. If that's the
case, then South African gold mining has a finite life,'' Diering said.

He is confident the technology hurdles can be overcome without science
fiction solutions, but the massive cost of building an ultra-deep mine
may scare off investors.

A five-km mine built from scratch could cost up to seven billion rand
($1.4 billion) and take 16 years before shareholders see a return. A
cheaper option would be to use an existing mine, but that would still
require billions of rand to develop.

Ultimately, the gold price may have the final say on whether South
Africa's mines break the five-km barrier.

''We're not on a mission to prove a technological point or get into the
Guinness Book of World Records,'' said Diering.

''It will be about mining profitably and safely. If we can find gold in
another part of the world at less risk, then maybe we'll go there,'' he
said.

((Johannesburg newsroom, 27 11 482 1003, newsroom+reuters.co.za))