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Gold/Mining/Energy : CGI Group (GIB.A) - -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Luc Glinas who wrote (413)5/27/1998 12:37:00 PM
From: David M. Lomow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1673
 
Here is the latest from Scotia McLeaod

Sorry about the formating but I cut it from from browser and it is an Acrobat file, so it is missing the graphs and graphics

DL

1-Strong Buy

Ralph Garcea 416-863-7177


Further Outsourcing Opportunities - Target Raised!

May 25, 1998 (6:45pm)

1-Yr. Target: $40.00
1-Yr. ROR: 33%
Sh. O/S: 57.1 mln (f.d.)

Post Bell Sygma Sh. O/S: 65.7 mln (f.d.)

Sept. 30
1997A
1998E
1999E
2000E
Qtr
Q-EPS
Q-CFPS
EPS
$0.10
$0.30
$0.61
$0.92
97Q2
$0.02
$0.05
P/E
300.0x
100.0x
49.2x
32.6x
97Q3
$0.03
$0.09
Sales/Share
$2.99
$6.1
$10.17
$13.22
97Q4
$0.04
$0.11
P/S
10.0x
4.9x
2.9x
2.3x
97Q1
$0.05
$0.14
98Q2
$0.05
$0.14
98Q3E
$0.07
$0.15



DEVELOPMENTS:

úIn our previous comment (May 11/98), we mentioned the strengthened relationship between BCE/CGI
and the fact that the "bidding" backlog ($3 billion) does not include any possible outsourcing or
systems integration business from other members of the BCE family (BCI, Nortel, etc.).

úIn addition, the possibilities of further consolidation in the financial services industry (insurance, etc.)
increase the outsourcing opportunities for CGI Group - especially in the cross-selling of retail banking
services to insurance clients.

úOnce again, we reiterate our view that we see strong demand for information technology services well
into the next century - both in North America and Europe.



SHARE IMPACT AND VALUATION:

úWe continue to remain bullish on CGI's long-term outlook. With U.S. and European comparables
trading in the 2.0x-6.0x range, we have decided to take a P/S multiple in the middle of the comparable
range. Thus, using a P/S multiple of 4.0x on FY 1999 sales/share of $10.17 yields a 12-18 month
target of $40.00. We continue to recommend CGI a 1-Strong Buy, medium risk.